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Is the European banking system more robust? An evaluation through the lens of the ECB's Comprehensive Assessment

Author

Listed:
  • Guillaume Arnould

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, LABEX Refi - ESCP Europe - Ecole Supérieure de Commerce de Paris)

  • Salim Dehmej

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, LABEX Refi - ESCP Europe - Ecole Supérieure de Commerce de Paris)

Abstract

The results of the Comprehensive Assessment (CA) conducted by the ECB seem to attest the soundness of the European banking system since only 8 of 130 assessed banks still need to raise €6 billion. However it would be a mistake to conclude that non failing banks are completely healthy. Using data provided by the ECB and the ECB and the EBA after the CA, we assess the capital shortfalls for each banks by considering the transitional arrangements, an implementation of Basel III sovereign debt requirements and an enhancement of the leverage ratio. In addition we show, that if the CA has been a very complex exercise, it is not the best lens through which the soundness of the eurozone banking system should be evaluated. The assumptions used for the Asset Quality Review (AQR) and the stress-tests lead to week scenarios and requirements that undermine the reliability of the results. Finally we show that the low profitability, the massive dividend distribution and the incurred fines, give rise to concern on the ability of eurozone banks to meet the incoming capital requirements.

Suggested Citation

  • Guillaume Arnould & Salim Dehmej, 2015. "Is the European banking system more robust? An evaluation through the lens of the ECB's Comprehensive Assessment," Post-Print halshs-01222489, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01222489
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-01222489
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Acharya, Viral V. & Steffen, Sascha, 2014. "Falling short of expectations? Stress-testing the European banking system," CEPS Papers 8803, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    2. Jézabel Couppey-Soubeyran & Christian de Boissieu, 2013. "Les Systèmes financiers. Mutations, Crises et Régulation," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00978677, HAL.
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    Cited by:

    1. Guillaume Arnould & Catherine Bruneau & Zhun Peng, 2015. "Liquidity and Equity Short term fragility: Stress-tests for the European banking system," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 15090, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial stability; stress tests; banking; financial regulation; Basel III;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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