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Is Hosting the Games Enough to Win? A predictive economic model of medal wins at 2014 Winter Olympics

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  • Wladimir Andreff

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

An econometric model which has first been estimated on medal wins at Summer Olympics and has predicted 88% of medal distribution at Beijing Games 2008, is revisited for Winter Olympics. After changing some variables to take into account the winter sports specificity, the model is estimated again on all Winter Games since 1964.Then it is used to predict (forecast) the medal distribution per country at the 2014 Sochi Winter Olympics.

Suggested Citation

  • Wladimir Andreff, 2012. "Is Hosting the Games Enough to Win? A predictive economic model of medal wins at 2014 Winter Olympics," Post-Print halshs-00794057, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00794057
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00794057
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wladimir Andreff, 2007. "Economie de la transition : La transformation des économies centralement planifiées en économies de marché," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00270037, HAL.
    2. Wladimir Andreff, 2001. "The Correlation between Economic Underdevelopment and Sport," Post-Print halshs-00274657, HAL.
    3. Jiang, Minghua & Xu, Lixin Colin, 2005. "Medals in transition: explaining medal performance and inequality of Chinese provinces," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 158-172, March.
    4. Wladimir Andreff & Sandrine Poupaux, 2007. "The institutional dimension of the sports economy in transition countries," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00270047, HAL.
    5. Wladimir Andreff & Sandrine Poupaux, 2007. "The institutional dimension of the sports economy in transition countries," Post-Print halshs-00270047, HAL.
    6. Wladimir Andreff, 2007. "Economie de la transition : La transformation des économies centralement planifiées en économies de marché," Post-Print halshs-00270037, HAL.
    7. Wladimir Andreff & Madeleine Andreff & Sandrine Poupaux, 2008. "Les déterminants économiques de la performance olympique : prévision des médailles qui seront gagnées aux Jeux de Pékin," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00293906, HAL.
    8. David Forrest & Adams Ceballos & Ramón Flores & Ian G. McHale & Ismael Sanz & J.D. Tena, 2012. "Explaining and Forecasting National Team Medals Totals at the Summer Olympic Games," Chapters, in: Wolfgang Maennig & Andrew Zimbalist (ed.), International Handbook on the Economics of Mega Sporting Events, chapter 13, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    9. Wladimir Andreff & Madeleine Andreff & Sandrine Poupaux, 2008. "Les déterminants économiques de la performance olympique : prévision des médailles qui seront gagnées aux Jeux de Pékin," Post-Print halshs-00293906, HAL.
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    12. Pfau, Wade Donald, 2006. "Predicting the Medal Wins by Country at the 2006 Winter Olympic Games: An Econometrics Approach," MPRA Paper 18829, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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