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Epidemics and fertility in a Malthusian economy

Author

Listed:
  • Jean-Pierre Laffargue

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

Abstract

A Malthusian model clarifies the effects of an epidemic on fertility and on the age structure. An HIV/AIDS epidemic leads to a decrease in fertility, a result consistent with the case of sub-Saharan Africa, but sensitive to national conditions. The fall of fertility might be limited to one generation.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Pierre Laffargue, 2012. "Epidemics and fertility in a Malthusian economy," Post-Print halshs-00669487, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00669487
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    Cited by:

    1. Chan, Kenneth S. & Laffargue, Jean-Pierre, 2016. "Plunder and tribute in a Malthusian world," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 138-150.
    2. Ilan Noy & Nguyen Doan & Benno Ferrarini & Donghyun Park, 2019. "Measuring the Economic Risk of Epidemics," CESifo Working Paper Series 8016, CESifo.

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