IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/halshs-00339710.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Financing future growth in infrastructure needs

Author

Listed:
  • Alain Bonnafous

    (LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - ENTPE - École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Determining future transport infrastructure needs is traditionally the first stage in the investment planning process. However, this process generally takes place within the framework of national transport policy, even in cases where the infrastructure is used for international traffic flows. This report proposes to address this issue by considering the specific needs of international traffic flows with regard to inland modes of transport.Obviously, these issues will be shaped by the way in which traffic flows develop over the next few decades, since new infrastructure needs and the associated financing problems clearly depend on the pace and scale of such growth. This uncertainty would be dispelled if growth were to remain zero or very close to zero. In the opposite case, namely if average growth rates were to be higher than 1.5% to 2% in European countries, growth in traffic raises the issue of the so-called decoupling of transport from economic growth.We must therefore begin by dispelling these uncertainties regarding a possible decoupling, or at least by stating the assumptions underlying the situation in which we find ourselves.

Suggested Citation

  • Alain Bonnafous, 2006. "Financing future growth in infrastructure needs," Post-Print halshs-00339710, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00339710
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00339710
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00339710/document
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lourdes Diaz Olvera & Michel Le Nir & Didier Plat & Charles Raux, 1995. "Les effets-frontière : évidences empiriques, impasses théoriques," Post-Print halshs-00139382, HAL.
    2. Alain Bonnafous, 2005. "Infrastructure Funding and Public-Private Partnerships," Post-Print halshs-00079768, HAL.
    3. Alain Bonnafous & Pablo Jensen, 2005. "Ranking Transport Projects by their Socioeconomic Value or Financial Interest rate of return?," Post-Print halshs-00079721, HAL.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Barabas, György & Kitlinski, Tobias & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schmidt, Torsten & Siemers, Lars-H. & Brilon, Werner, 2010. "Verkehrsinfrastrukturinvestitionen: Wachstumsaspekte im Rahmen einer gestaltenden Finanzpolitik. Endbericht - Januar 2010. Forschungsprojekt im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums der Finanzen. Projektnumm," RWI Projektberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, number 72601, March.
    2. Theodore Tsekeris & Charalambos Tsekeris & Gerassimos Karabelias, 2011. "Exploring the Role of Greece in the Development of Infrastructure Networks in Southeastern Europe," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), vol. 18(1), pages 99-111, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bonnafous, Alain, 2010. "Programming, optimal pricing and partnership contract for infrastructures in PPPs," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 15-22.
    2. Musso, Enrico & Ferrari, Claudio & Benacchio, Marco, 2006. "Port Investment: Profitability, Economic Impact and Financing," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 171-218, January.
    3. Bernard Lapeyre & Emile Quinet, 2017. "A Simple GDP-based Model for Public Investments at Risk," Post-Print hal-01666574, HAL.
    4. Lowry, Michael B., 2010. "Using optimization to program projects in the era of communicative rationality," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 94-101, March.
    5. Bertsch, Valentin & Di Cosmo, Valeria, 2018. "Are Renewables Profitable in 2030? A Comparison between Wind and Solar across Europe," ESP: Energy Scenarios and Policy 276178, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    6. Acharya, Bikram & Lee, Jongsu & Moon, HyungBin, 2022. "Preference heterogeneity of local government for implementing ICT infrastructure and services through public-private partnership mechanism," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    7. Alain Bonnafous & Pablo Jensen & William Roy, 2006. "Le cofinancement usager - contribuable et le partenariat public-privé changent les termes de l'évaluation des programmes d'investissement public," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(4), pages 15-30.
    8. Bonnafous, Alain, 2015. "The economic regulation of French highways: Just how private did they become?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 33-41.
    9. Mandic, Dragomir & Jovanovic, Predrag & Bugarinovic, Mirjana, 2014. "Two-phase model for multi-criteria project ranking: Serbian Railways case study," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 88-104.
    10. Alain Bonnafous & Bruno Faivre d'Arcier, 2013. "The conditions of efficiency of a PPP for public finances," Post-Print halshs-00876446, HAL.
    11. William Roy, 2005. "Évaluation des programmes d'infrastructure : ordre optimal de réalisation sous contrainte financière," Post-Print halshs-00003971, HAL.
    12. Didier Plat & Charles Raux, 1998. "Frontier impedance effects and the growth of international exchanges: an empirical analysis for France," Post-Print halshs-00144768, HAL.
    13. Bonnafous, Alain, 2012. "The use of PPP's and the profitability rate paradox," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 45-49.
    14. Mishra, Sabyasachee & Khasnabis, Snehamay & Dhingra, Sunder Lall, 2013. "A simulation approach for estimating value at risk in transportation infrastructure investment decisions," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 128-138.
    15. Beria, Paolo & Grimaldi, Raffaele, 2014. "Cost Benefit Analysis to assess urban mobility plans. Consumers’ surplus calculation and integration with transport models," MPRA Paper 59590, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00339710. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.