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L'incertitude dans les théories économiques

Author

Listed:
  • Nathalie Moureau

    (RIRRA 21 - Représenter, Inventer la Réalité, du Romantisme au XXIe siècle - UPVM - Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3)

  • Dorothée Rivaud Danset

Abstract

Reconnaître l'importance de l'incertitude met profondément en question l'analyse économique. Les premiers économistes à s'emparer de ce thème, Knight et Keynes, ont lancé le débat. Dans certaines situations, l'incertitude peut être traitée par les probabilités : on parle alors de risque. Dans d'autres cas, les probabilités ne sont d'aucun recours. Cette distinction permet de caractériser deux démarches. La première, majoritaire, retient les probabilités pour représenter l'incertitude, la seconde, qui regroupe des courants hétérogènes, postule que l'incertitude n'est pas probabilisable et refuse toute vision mécanique de l'économie. Cet ouvrage présente les modalités et les conséquences de la prise en compte de l'incertitude dans l'analyse économique.

Suggested Citation

  • Nathalie Moureau & Dorothée Rivaud Danset, 2004. "L'incertitude dans les théories économiques," Post-Print hal-03995208, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03995208
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-03995208v1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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