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Econometric Study of the Impacts of Climate Change on Food Security in Morocco
[Etude économétrique des impacts du changement climatique sur la sécurité alimentaire au Maroc]

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  • Arib Fatima
  • Houria Et-Touile

    (UCA - Université Cadi Ayyad [Marrakech])

Abstract

The agricultural sector is one of the most sensitive sectors to climate change, this sector is directly affected by temperature and rainfall and the rate of arable land, which are an input in food security. The main objective of this paper is to assess theimpacts of climate change and arable land on food security in Morocco between 1971 and 2017, using a cointegration model based on the ARDL (Autoregressive Staggered Delayed Rise) approach. The empirical results show that an increase in precipitationhas apositive effect on agricultural GDP, theincrease in temperatureby 1% has a negative effect on agricultural GDP with a decrease of 3.14% in the short term and 5% in the long term, while arable land does not directly influence the country's food security. In order to minimize the negative effects of climate change in Morocco, whose agricultural sector represents the most important sector of the economy, it is important to establish adaptation policies to fight against climate change

Suggested Citation

  • Arib Fatima & Houria Et-Touile, 2022. "Econometric Study of the Impacts of Climate Change on Food Security in Morocco [Etude économétrique des impacts du changement climatique sur la sécurité alimentaire au Maroc]," Post-Print hal-03909166, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03909166
    DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.5643153
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-03909166
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Samuel asuamah Yeboah & Lawrence Amponsah & Glory Kofi Hoggar, 2015. "Climate Change and Agriculture: Modeling the Impact of Carbon Dioxide Emission on Cereal Yield in Ghana," Agriculture and Food Sciences Research, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 2(2), pages 32-38.
    2. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    3. De Salvo, Maria & Raffaelli, Roberta & Moser, Riccarda, 2013. "The impact of climate change on permanent crops in an Alpine region: A Ricardian analysis," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 23-32.
    4. Lawrence Amponsah & Glory Kofi Hoggar & Samuel Yeboah Asuamah, 2015. "Climate Change and Agriculture: Modeling the Impact of Carbon Dioxide Emission on Cereal Yield in Ghana," Agriculture and Food Sciences Research, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 2(2), pages 32-38.
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