IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/hal-03119512.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Aide Publique Au Developpement Et Croissance Economique Au Congo-Kinshasa En Periode De Post-Conflit

Author

Listed:
  • Crispin Malingumu Syosyo

    (IRES - Institut de recherches économiques et sociales)

Abstract

La présente étude vise à analyser l'incidence de l'Aide Publique au Développement sur la croissance économique au Congo-Kinshasa en période de post-conflit de 1999(+)à 2010. Elle vérifie aussi la stabilité de la relation observée en période de post-conflit sur le long terme (c'est-à-dire, entre 1970 à 2010). D'un point de vue empirique, l'aide a été à même de stimuler la croissance économique en phase de post-crise en agissant à travers le canal de la gouvernance démocratique, approximé par le contrôle de la corruption ; l'aide a un coefficient positif et statistiquement significatif. Son rendement est décroissant et statistiquement significatif montrant par là que la capacité du pays à absorber les volumes d'aide de plus en plus important est limitée. Par contre, en long terme (1970-2010), l'aide a un effet négatif et statistiquement significatif sur la croissance et son rendement, bien que statistiquement significatif, a un coefficient nul. Ces résultats contradictoires, semblent suggérer que l'impact de l'aide sur la croissance économique, au Congo-Kinshasa, est hétérogène et instable au fil du temps. Les résultats obtenus à l'issu de cette analyse ne permettent donc pas de dégager, de manière tranchée, l'impact systématique de l'aide sur la croissance économique de ce pays.

Suggested Citation

  • Crispin Malingumu Syosyo, 2013. "Aide Publique Au Developpement Et Croissance Economique Au Congo-Kinshasa En Periode De Post-Conflit," Post-Print hal-03119512, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03119512
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-03119512
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://hal.science/hal-03119512/document
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chauvet, Lisa & Collier, Paul & Duponchel, Marguerite, 2010. "What explains aid project success in post-conflict situations ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5418, The World Bank.
    2. Lisa CHAUVET & Patrick GUILLAUMONT, 2006. "Aid, Volatility and Growth,with special reference to Africa," Working Papers 200640, CERDI.
    3. Rachid LAAJAJ & Patrick GUILLAUMONT, 2006. "When instability increases the effectiveness of aid projects," Working Papers 200637, CERDI.
    4. Patrick GUILLAUMONT & Sylviane GUILLAUMONT JEANNENEY, 2004. "Une expérience européenne : la conditionnalité de performance au Burkina Faso," Working Papers 200407, CERDI.
    5. Samuel GUERINEAU & Gérard CHAMBAS & Jean-François BRUN, 2008. "Aide et mobilisation fiscale dans les pays en développement," Working Papers 200812, CERDI.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Patrick Guillaumont, 2011. "Aid effectiveness for poverty reduction:macroeconomic overview and emerging issues," CERDI Working papers halshs-00554285, HAL.
    2. Denizer, Cevdet & Kaufmann, Daniel & Kraay, Aart, 2013. "Good countries or good projects? Macro and micro correlates of World Bank project performance," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 288-302.
    3. Patrick GUILLAUMONT, 2009. "Aid effectiveness for poverty reduction: macroeconomic overview and emerging issues," Working Papers P05, FERDI.
    4. Presbitero, Andrea F., 2016. "Too much and too fast? Public investment scaling-up and absorptive capacity," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 17-31.
    5. Patrick Guillaumont & Laurent Wagner, 2014. "Aid Effectiveness for Poverty Reduction: Lessons from Cross‑country Analyses, with a Special Focus on Vulnerable Countries," Revue d’économie du développement, De Boeck Université, vol. 22(HS01), pages 217-261.
    6. Yogo, Urbain Thierry & Mallaye, Douzounet, 2012. "Health Aid and Health Improvement in Sub Saharan Africa," MPRA Paper 44938, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Limodio, Nicola, 2011. "The success of infrastructure projects in low-income countries and the role of selectivity," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5694, The World Bank.
    8. Christopher Kilby & Katharina Michaelowa, 2019. "What Influences World Bank Project Evaluations?," Springer Books, in: Nabamita Dutta & Claudia R. Williamson (ed.), Lessons on Foreign Aid and Economic Development, chapter 0, pages 109-150, Springer.
    9. Thierry Kangoye, 2008. "Instability from trade and democracy: the long-run effect of aid," Post-Print hal-00331902, HAL.
    10. Patrick Guillaumont, 2009. "An Economic Vulnerability Index: Its Design and Use for International Development Policy," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 193-228.
    11. Roland Kangni KPODAR & Maëlan LE GOFF, 2012. "Do Remittances Reduce Aid Dependency?," Working Papers P34, FERDI.
    12. Gehring, Kai & Kaplan, Lennart C. & Wong, Melvin H.L., 2022. "China and the World Bank—How contrasting development approaches affect the stability of African states," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    13. Alassane DRABO & Christian EBEKE, 2010. "Remittances, Public Health Spending and Foreign Aid in the Access to Health Care Services in Developing Countries," Working Papers 201004, CERDI.
    14. Naoufel Mahfoudh & Imen Gmach, 2021. "The Effects of Fiscal Effort in Tunisia: An Evidence from the ARDL Bound Testing Approach," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-20, December.
    15. Patrick Guillaumont, 2010. "Assessing the Economic Vulnerability of Small Island Developing States and the Least Developed Countries," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(5), pages 828-854.
    16. Kodjo Adandohoin, 2021. "Tax transition in developing countries: do value added tax and excises really work?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 379-424, May.
    17. repec:idq:ictduk:13654 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Sèna Kimm Gnangnon, 2022. "Does Poverty Matter for Tax Revenue Performance in Developing Countries?," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 11(1), pages 7-38, June.
    19. Kadria, Mohamed & Ben Aissa, Mohamed Safouane, 2016. "Inflation targeting and public deficit in emerging countries: A time varying treatment effect approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 108-114.
    20. Bedasso, Biniam, 2024. "Ministerial musical chairs: Does leadership turnover undermine the effectiveness of World Bank education aid?," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    21. Patrick GUILLAUMONT, 2011. "Making Development Financing in LDCs More Conducive to Development," Working Papers P18, FERDI.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03119512. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.