IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/hal-02569336.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Terrorism activities influence on financial stock markets: an empirical evidence from United Kingdom, India, France, Pakistan, Spain and America

Author

Listed:
  • Omar Masood

    (University of Lahore)

  • Kiran Javaria

    (University of Lahore)

  • Yelena Petrenko

    (PRUE - Plekhanov Russian University of Economics [Moscow])

Abstract

The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of terrorism activities on five developing and developed economies and their financial markets. Five countries selected for analysis include Spain, United Kingdom, India, Pakistan, United States of America and France. The variables under consideration are terrorism activities and market return of the financial stock markets. This study contains time series data collected on daily basis from 1 st Jan 2001 to 31 st Dec 2018. Study utilized deductive research approach with quantitative data. A linear regression model is used to estimate the effect of terrorist activities on the market return of the financial stock markets of the selected countries. The results of the model suggest that the market return is very much affected by the occurrence of such terror events and the model is overall statistically significant. The results of this study are consistent with the results of Freytag et al. (2009) and Bas et al., (2017) studies which show that there is significant influence of terrorism activities on financial stock market of five selected countries. This study is very significant and essential for investors and analysts as it helps them to understand how terror factors influence stock market and the right time to invest or exit the market. Findings of the study highlight and explain how terrorism activities influence the overall market return.

Suggested Citation

  • Omar Masood & Kiran Javaria & Yelena Petrenko, 2020. "Terrorism activities influence on financial stock markets: an empirical evidence from United Kingdom, India, France, Pakistan, Spain and America," Post-Print hal-02569336, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02569336
    DOI: 10.9770/IRD.2020.2.1(4)
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-02569336
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://hal.science/hal-02569336/document
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.9770/IRD.2020.2.1(4)?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Freytag, Andreas & Krüger, Jens J. & Meierrieks, Daniel & Schneider, Friedrich, 2011. "The origins of terrorism: Cross-country estimates of socio-economic determinants of terrorism," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(S1), pages 5-16.
    2. repec:pri:rpdevs:krueger_maleckova_education_poverty_political is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Abadie, Alberto & Gardeazabal, Javier, 2008. "Terrorism and the world economy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 1-27, January.
    4. Arye Hillman, 2007. "Economic and security consequences of supreme values," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 131(3), pages 259-280, June.
    5. Alan B. Krueger & Jitka Maleckova, 2002. "Education, Poverty, Political Violence and Terrorism: Is There a Causal Connection?," NBER Working Papers 9074, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Bart Hobijn, 2002. "What will homeland security cost?," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 8(Nov), pages 21-33.
    7. repec:pri:rpdevs:krueger_maleckova_education_poverty_political.pdf is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Ethan Bueno De Mesquita, 2005. "The Quality of Terror," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 49(3), pages 515-530, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Anatolijs Kriviņš & Jānis Teivāns-Treinovskis & Vladas Tumalavičius, 2021. "Issues of state and national security: Religiously inspired terrorism in the Baltic States: internal and external factors," Post-Print hal-03583775, HAL.
    2. Anatolijs Kriviņš & JÄ nis TeivÄ ns-Treinovskis & Vladas TumalaviÄ ius & Vladas TumalaviÄ ius, 2021. "Issues of state and national security: Religiously inspired terrorism in the Baltic States: internal and external factors," Insights into Regional Development, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 3(1), pages 65-79, March.
    3. Le Dinh Hac & Dinh Tran Ngoc Huy & Nguyen Ngoc Thach & Bui Minh Chuyen & Pham Thi Hong Nhung & Tran Duc Thang & Tran Tuan Anh, 2021. "Enhancing risk management culture for sustainable growth of Asia commercial bank -ACB in Vietnam under mixed effects of macro factors," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 8(3), pages 291-307, March.
    4. Anatolii Kulish & Oleksandr Yunin & Olha Us & Iryna Shapovalova & Ivan Yaromii, 2021. "Smuggling as a threat to economic security of the state," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 8(3), pages 384-399, March.
    5. Dinh Tran Ngoc Huy & Bui Thi Thu Loan & Pham Tuan Anh, 2020. "Impact of selected factors on stock price: a case study of Vietcombank in Vietnam," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 7(4), pages 2715-2730, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Omar Masood & Kiran Javaria & Yelena Petrenko, 2020. "Terrorism activities influence on financial stock markets: an empirical evidence from United Kingdom, India, France, Pakistan, Spain and America," Insights into Regional Development, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 2(1), pages 443-455, March.
    2. Friedrich Schneider & Tilman Brück & Daniel Meierrieks, 2010. "The Economics of Terrorism and Counter-Terrorism: A Survey (Part II)," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1050, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    3. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Shabbir, Muhammad Shahbaz & Malik, Muhammad Nasir & Wolters, Mark Edward, 2013. "An analysis of a causal relationship between economic growth and terrorism in Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 21-29.
    4. Kis-Katos, Krisztina & Liebert, Helge & Schulze, Günther G., 2011. "On the origin of domestic and international terrorism," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(S1), pages 17-36.
    5. Caruso, Raul & Schneider, Friedrich, 2011. "The socio-economic determinants of terrorism and political violence in Western Europe (1994–2007)," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(S1), pages 37-49.
    6. Kis-Katos, Krisztina & Liebert, Helge & Schulze, Günther G., 2014. "On the heterogeneity of terror," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 116-136.
    7. Schneider, Friedrich, 2010. "The (Hidden) Financial Flows of Terrorist and Organized Crime Organizations: A Literature Review and Some Preliminary Empirical Results," IZA Discussion Papers 4860, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    8. Mubashra, Sana & Shafi, Mariuam i, 2018. "The Impact of Counter-terrorism Effectiveness on Economic Growth of Pakistan: An Econometric Analysis," MPRA Paper 84847, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Gries, Thomas & Haake, Claus-Jochen, 2016. "An Economic Theory of 'Destabilization War' '- Compromise for Peace versus Conventional, Guerilla, or Terrorist Warfare," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145617, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    10. Thomas Gries & Claus-Jochen Haake, 2016. "An Economic Theory of 'Destabilization War'," Working Papers CIE 95, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
    11. Asongu, Simplice A. & Le Roux, Sara & Singh, Pritam, 2021. "Fighting terrorism in Africa: Complementarity between inclusive development, military expenditure and political stability," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(5), pages 897-922.
    12. Younas, Javed, 2015. "Terrorism, openness and the Feldstein–Horioka paradox," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 1-11.
    13. Fırat Bilgel & Burhan Can Karahasan, 2017. "The Economic Costs of Separatist Terrorism in Turkey," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 61(2), pages 457-479, February.
    14. Thomas Gries & Tim Krieger & Daniel Meierrieks, 2011. "Causal Linkages Between Domestic Terrorism and Economic Growth," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(5), pages 493-508, June.
    15. Friedrich Schneider, 2009. "Die Finanzströme von organisierter Kriminalität und Terrorismus: was wissen wir (nicht)?," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 78(4), pages 73-87.
    16. Ezcurra, Roberto & Palacios, David, 2016. "Terrorism and spatial disparities: Does interregional inequality matter?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 60-74.
    17. Tim Krieger & Daniel Meierrieks, 2016. "Does Income Inequality Lead to Terrorism?," CESifo Working Paper Series 5821, CESifo.
    18. Krieger, Tim & Brockhoff, Sarah & Meierrieks, Daniel, 2012. "Great Expectations and Hard Times The (Nontrivial) Impact of Education on Domestic Terrorism," VfS Annual Conference 2012 (Goettingen): New Approaches and Challenges for the Labor Market of the 21st Century 62083, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    19. Abrahms, Max & Dau, Luis Alfonso & Moore, Elizabeth M., 2023. "Should I stay or should I go now? Understanding terrorism as a driver of institutional escapism," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(4).
    20. Serhan Cevik & John Ricco, 2020. "Shock and awe? Fiscal consequences of terrorism," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 723-748, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02569336. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.