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Decomposing and Analyzing Korea’s Declining GDP Growth: Some Cautions and Suggestions

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  • Sumner La Croix

    (Department of Economics, University of Hawaii at Manoa)

Abstract

Chin Hee Hahn and Sukha Shin (2007) have developed new decompositions of Korean economic growth from 1990 to 2004. They find that Korea’s declining GDP growth has been accompanied by a sharp decline in capital deepening and an increase in total factor productivity. By contrast, Jorgenson and Vu’s (2007) decompositions of Korea’s GDP growth find that total factor productivity decreased over this period. This paper compares the two decompositions; evaluates Hahn and Shin’s hypothesis that competition from Chinese imports may be driving the decline in GDP growth; and briefly presents four other candidates (decline in Korean savings, business cycle effects, weak IT investment, and regulatory and wealth redistribution initiatives) that could be partially responsible for the slowdown in Korean GDP growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Sumner La Croix, 2007. "Decomposing and Analyzing Korea’s Declining GDP Growth: Some Cautions and Suggestions," Working Papers 200721, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:hai:wpaper:200721
    as

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    File URL: http://www.economics.hawaii.edu/research/workingpapers/WP_07-21.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2007
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald, 2008. "Information and communications technology as a general purpose technology: evidence from U.S. industry data," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 1-15.
    2. Dale W. Jorgenson & Mun S. Ho & Kevin J. Stiroh, 2008. "A Retrospective Look at the U.S. Productivity Growth Resurgence," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 22(1), pages 3-24, Winter.
    3. Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald & Nicholas Oulton & Sylaja Srinivasan, 2003. "The Case of the Missing Productivity Growth: Or, Does Information Technology Explain why Productivity Accelerated in the US but not the UK?," NBER Working Papers 10010, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Barry P. Bosworth & Susan M. Collins, 2003. "The Empirics of Growth: An Update," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 34(2), pages 113-206.
    5. repec:bla:germec:v:8:y:2007:i::p:125-145 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Feldstein, Martin & Horioka, Charles, 1980. "Domestic Saving and International Capital Flows," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 90(358), pages 314-329, June.
    7. Dale W. Jorgenson & Khuong Vu, 2007. "Information Technology and the World Growth Resurgence," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 8(2), pages 125-145, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Ahmad Jafari Samimi & Yosof Essazadeh Roshan, 2012. "The Impact of ICT Shocks on Business Cycle Some Evidence from Iran," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 17(1), pages 123-145, winter.
    2. Kim, Sangho & Lim, Hyunjoon & Park, Donghyun, 2010. "Productivity and Employment in a Developing Country: Some Evidence from Korea," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 514-522, April.

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    Keywords

    GDP; TFP; China; Korea; capital; labor; decomposition; productivity.;
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