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Capital Accumulation, Inflation And Long-Run Conflict In International Objectives

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It is shown that, when there is a genuine long-run trade-off between inflation and output, coordination under pre-commitment yields substantial improvements in economic welfare. The analysis is conducted within the context of a two-country model with capital accumulation, immobile labour, perfect capital mobility and floating exchange rates. If the home government increases its monetary growth rate, it increases home inflation, reduces the world real interest rate and therefore boosts both home and foreign capital accumulation. The foreign country thus enjoys a gain in output without suffering from higher inflation. Competitive policies lead to monetary policies which are too tight and levels of activity which are too low, since each country attempts to be a "free rider". Coordination leads to a lower world real interest rate and higher welfare. Pre-commitment is necessary, for the success of coordinated policies, however. Otherwise each government has an incentive to renege and levy a "surprise" inflation tax. In the absence of binding contracts or reputation effects, both cooperation and competitive policy formulation lead to excessive monetary growth rates and higher levels of activity than under coordination or competition with pre-commitment. Coordination can be futile, since it exacerbates the lack of credibility perceived by the private sectors.
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  • Van Der Ploeg & A., 1989. "Capital Accumulation, Inflation And Long-Run Conflict In International Objectives," Papers 8904, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:fth:tilbur:8904
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    2. van der Ploeg, F., 1991. "Macroeconomic policy coordination issues during the various phases of economic and monetary integration in Europe," Other publications TiSEM a976728b-0f0f-44c5-bb3d-4, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

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    Keywords

    inflation ; exchange rate;

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