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Capital accumulation, inflation and long-run conflict in international objectives

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  • van der Ploeg, F.

    (Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management)

Abstract

It is shown that, when there is a genuine long-run trade-off between inflation and output, coordination under pre-commitment yields substantial improvements in economic welfare. The analysis is conducted within the context of a two-country model with capital accumulation, immobile labour, perfect capital mobility and floating exchange rates. If the home government increases its monetary growth rate, it increases home inflation, reduces the world real interest rate and therefore boosts both home and foreign capital accumulation. The foreign country thus enjoys a gain in output without suffering from higher inflation. Competitive policies lead to monetary policies which are too tight and levels of activity which are too low, since each country attempts to be a "free rider". Coordination leads to a lower world real interest rate and higher welfare. Pre-commitment is necessary, for the success of coordinated policies, however. Otherwise each government has an incentive to renege and levy a "surprise" inflation tax. In the absence of binding contracts or reputation effects, both cooperation and competitive policy formulation lead to excessive monetary growth rates and higher levels of activity than under coordination or competition with pre-commitment. Coordination can be futile, since it exacerbates the lack of credibility perceived by the private sectors.
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Suggested Citation

  • van der Ploeg, F., 1989. "Capital accumulation, inflation and long-run conflict in international objectives," Other publications TiSEM 9070d8b2-ce02-48e1-880d-4, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:tiu:tiutis:9070d8b2-ce02-48e1-880d-4ae588760a50
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Nijman, Theo & Verbeek, Marno & van Soest, Arthur, 1991. "The efficiency of rotating-panel designs in an analysis-of-variance model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 373-399, September.
    2. van der Ploeg, F., 1991. "Macroeconomic policy coordination issues during the various phases of economic and monetary integration in Europe," Other publications TiSEM a976728b-0f0f-44c5-bb3d-4, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

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