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Custo de ciclo econômico no Brasil em um modelo com restrição a crédito

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  • Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti
  • Cunha, Bárbara Vasconcelos Boavista da

Abstract

O estudo do impacto de ciclo econômico no bem-estar dos indivíduos de uma economia é um assunto de grande importância teórica. Ao considerarmos a economia brasileira, onde grande maioria dos indivíduos não dispõe de mecanismos de crédito, ele torna-se ainda mais relevante. Se os agentes não são capazes de suavizar consumo segundo a hipótese da renda permanente de Friedman é de se esperar que sofram impactos ainda maiores diante de flutuações na renda. Utilizamos o modelo proposto por Imrohoroglu (1989) para os dados da economia brasileira a fim de mensurar a perda de bem-estar causada por um ciclo econômico. A partir de resultados que mostram o significativo custo dos ciclos econômicos, propomos a introdução do governo no modelo. Agindo no sentido de completar mercados, o governo se mostrou eficiente. Apesar de simples, nosso experimento mostrou a importância de investigarmos a ação governamental como opção para elevação do bem-estar em economias restritas ao crédito ao longo de flutuações econômicas.

Suggested Citation

  • Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti & Cunha, Bárbara Vasconcelos Boavista da, 2003. "Custo de ciclo econômico no Brasil em um modelo com restrição a crédito," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 471, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
  • Handle: RePEc:fgv:epgewp:471
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Leandro Gonçalves do Nascimento, 2004. "Investment in Human Capital in a Macrodynamic Framework: Redistributive Taxation, Public Debt and Welfare," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 539, Econometric Society.
    2. Leandro Nascimento, 2004. "Investment in Human Capital in a Macrodynamic Framework: Redistributive Taxation, Public Debt and Welfare," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 100, Econometric Society.
    3. Gerhard Glomm & Felix Rioja, 2012. "The Generational Effects of Fiscal Policy in a Small Open Economy," Public Finance Review, , vol. 40(2), pages 151-176, March.

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