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Some Statistical Pitfalls In Copula Modeling For Financial Applications

Author

Listed:
  • Jean-David FERMANIAN

    (CDC Ixis Capital Markets)

  • Olivier SCAILLET

    (HEC Genève and FAME, Université de Genève,)

Abstract

In this paper we discuss some statistical pitfalls that may occur in modeling cross-dependences with copulas in financial applications. In particular we focus on issues arising in the estimation and the empirical choice of copulas as well as in the design of time-dependent copulas.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-David FERMANIAN & Olivier SCAILLET, 2004. "Some Statistical Pitfalls In Copula Modeling For Financial Applications," FAME Research Paper Series rp108, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering.
    • Handle: RePEc:fam:rpseri:rp108
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    File URL: http://www.swissfinanceinstitute.ch/rp108.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Beatriz Vaz de Melo Mendes, 2005. "Computing Conditional VaR using Time-varying CopulasComputing Conditional VaR using Time-varying Copulas," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 3(2), pages 251-265.
    2. Anthony N. Rezitis & Andreas Rokopanos, 2019. "Impact of trade liberalisation on dairy market price co‐movements between the EU, Oceania, and the United States," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 63(3), pages 472-498, July.
    3. Bingduo Yang & Zongwu Cai & Christian M. Hafner & Guannan Liu, 2018. "Trending Mixture Copula Models with Copula Selection," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201809, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2018.
    4. de Melo Mendes, Beatriz Vaz & Kolev, Nikolai, 2008. "How long memory in volatility affects true dependence structure," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 1070-1086, December.
    5. Söderberg, Jonas, 2008. "Test of the Gaussian Copula on the Swedish Stock Market," CAFO Working Papers 2009:9, Linnaeus University, Centre for Labour Market Policy Research (CAFO), School of Business and Economics.
    6. Eduardo F. L. de Melo & Beatriz Vaz de Melo Mendes, 2009. "Local Estimation of Copula Based Value-at-Risk," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 7(1), pages 29-50.
    7. Hubbard, Timothy P. & Li, Tong & Paarsch, Harry J., 2012. "Semiparametric estimation in models of first-price, sealed-bid auctions with affiliation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 168(1), pages 4-16.
    8. Emmanoulides, Christos & Fousekis, Panos, 2014. "Vertical Price Transmission in the US Pork Industry: Evidence from Copula Models," Agricultural Economics Review, Greek Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12.
    9. Kunlapath Sukcharoen & David Leatham, 2018. "Analyzing Extreme Comovements in Agricultural and Energy Commodity Markets Using a Regular Vine Copula Method," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(5), pages 193-201.
    10. Amjad, Muhammad & Akbar, Muhammad & Ullah, Hamd, 2022. "A copula-based approach for creating an index of micronutrient intakes at household level in Pakistan," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    11. Abel Elizalde, 2006. "Credit Risk Models I: Default Correlation in Intensity Models," Working Papers wp2006_0605, CEMFI.
    12. Manner, H., 2007. "Estimation and model selection of copulas with an application to exchange rates," Research Memorandum 056, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Copulas; Dependence Measures; Risk Management;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

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