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A Reality Check on the Relationship between Poverty and Income Inequality for Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Sadullah Çelik

    (Marmara University, Faculty of Economics, Department of Economics)

  • Deniz Şatıroğlu

Abstract

This study revisits a distinctive topic which is regarded to offer endless ways of research. The impact of poverty on income inequality has been considered a dynamic issue from the beginning of economic history (Smith, 1776), especially for developing (emerging) economies. The conventional approaches of income inequality and poverty are based on the empirical analysis of household labor force participation survey results with a mixture of other well-known variables. This paper differs from the previous literature by employing some unconventional survey data results-trying to extract information from the expectations of producers-and inflation which has the greatest distortion on income inequality for the emerging market of Turkey. Given the rationality of expectations, we believe that producers’ survey results should include relevant information about the future consumption patterns of households (and thus poverty). Hence, the Retail Sector Confidence Survey (TEPE of TEPAV) is taken as a proxy for poverty (consumption) and the Consumer Price Index (TÜFE of TUİK) as a proxy for income inequality. The data set is monthly and runs through January 2011 – February 2014. The econometric methods employed consist of the recently developed and rather superior frequency-domain causality (Breitung and Candelon, 2006) and wavelet comovement analysis (Rua, 2010). Our results show that food consumption is one of the most significant determining factors of both income inequality and poverty whereas transportation and miscellaneous other goods and services are also important for Turkish economic agents.

Suggested Citation

  • Sadullah Çelik & Deniz Şatıroğlu, 2015. "A Reality Check on the Relationship between Poverty and Income Inequality for Turkey," EY International Congress on Economics II (EYC2015), November 5-6, 2015, Ankara, Turkey 229, Ekonomik Yaklasim Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:eyd:cp2015:229
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 2014. "Estimating turning points using large data sets," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 368-381.
    2. Martin Ravallion & Shaohua Chen, 2011. "Weakly Relative Poverty," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 93(4), pages 1251-1261, November.
    3. Rua, António, 2010. "Measuring comovement in the time-frequency space," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 685-691, June.
    4. Ravallion, Martin & Bidani, Benu, 1994. "How Robust Is a Poverty Profile?," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 8(1), pages 75-102, January.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    : Poverty; Income Inequality; Emerging Market; Frequency-Domain Causality; Wavelet Comovement;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • I30 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - General
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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