IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ems/eureir/6743.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Real time estimates of GDP growth

Author

Listed:
  • de Groot, E.A.
  • Franses, Ph.H.B.F.

Abstract

This paper describes the components of the EICIE, the Econometric Institute Current Indicator of the Economy. This measure concerns quarterly and annual growth of Dutch real Gross Domestic Product. The key component of our real-time forecasting model for Dutch quarterly GDP is weekly staffing services obtained from Randstad company, which is single explanatory variable. We show that these two variables are cointegrated, and that the staffing variable helps to give quarterly GDP figures with just a two-week delay.

Suggested Citation

  • de Groot, E.A. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2005. "Real time estimates of GDP growth," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2005-01, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:ems:eureir:6743
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://repub.eur.nl/pub/6743/EI2005-01.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ard den Reijer, 2006. "The Dutch business cycle: which indicators should we monitor?," DNB Working Papers 100, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    2. Philip Hans Franses, 2011. "Model selection for forecast combination," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(14), pages 1721-1727.
    3. Elke J. Jahn & Jan Bentzen, 2012. "What Drives the Demand for Temporary Agency Workers?," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 26(3), pages 341-355, September.
    4. den Reijer, Ard H.J., 2011. "Regional and sectoral dynamics of the Dutch staffing labor cycle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 1826-1837, July.
    5. de Groot, E.A. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2005. "Real time estimates of GDP growth, based on two-regime models," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2005-32, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    6. ten Cate, Arie & Franses, Philip Hans, 2008. "Error-correction modelling in discrete and continuous time," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 101(2), pages 140-141, November.
    7. Ard den Reijer, 2007. "Identifying Regional and Sectoral Dynamics of the Dutch Staffing Labour Cycle," DNB Working Papers 153, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    8. Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & de Groot, E.A., 2006. "Long-term forecast for the Dutch economy," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2006-06, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Current indicator; GDP; Staffing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ems:eureir:6743. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: RePub (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/feeurnl.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.