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Efficient estimation of a semiparametric characteristic-based factor model of security returns

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  • Connor, Gregory
  • Hagmann, Matthias
  • Linton, Oliver

Abstract

This paper develops a new estimation procedure for characteristic-based factor models of security returns. We treat the factor model as a weighted additive nonparametric regression model, with the factor returns serving as time-varying weights, and a set of univariate non-parametric functions relating security characteristic to the associated factor betas. We use a time-series and cross-sectional pooled weighted additive nonparametric regression methodology to simultaneously estimate the factor returns and characteristicbeta functions. By avoiding the curse of dimensionality our methodology allows for a larger number of factors than existing semiparametric methods. We apply the technique to the three-factor Fama-French model, Carhart’s four-factor extension of it adding a momentum factor, and a five-factor extension adding an own-volatility factor. We found that momentum and ownvolatility factors are at least as important if not more important than size and value in explaining equity return comovements. We test the multifactor beta pricing theory against the Capital Asset Pricing model using a standard test, and against a general alternative using a new nonparametric test.

Suggested Citation

  • Connor, Gregory & Hagmann, Matthias & Linton, Oliver, 2007. "Efficient estimation of a semiparametric characteristic-based factor model of security returns," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 3775, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:3775
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Gagliardini, Patrick & Gourieroux, Christian, 2014. "Efficiency In Large Dynamic Panel Models With Common Factors," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(5), pages 961-1020, October.
    3. Gong, Xiaomin & Xie, Fei & Zhou, Zhongsheng & Zhang, Chenyang, 2024. "The enhanced benefits of ESG in portfolios: A multi-factor model perspective based on LightGBM," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    4. Patrick Gagliardini & Elisa Ossola & O. Scaillet, 2019. "Estimation of Large Dimensional Conditional Factor Models in Finance," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 19-46, Swiss Finance Institute.
    5. Yuan Liao & Xiye Yang, 2017. "Uniform Inference for Characteristic Effects of Large Continuous-Time Linear Models," Papers 1711.04392, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
    6. Connor, G. & Li, S. & Linton, O., 2020. "A Dynamic Semiparametric Characteristics-based Model for Optimal Portfolio Selection," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20103, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    7. Li, Kunpeng & Li, Qi & Lu, Lina, 2018. "Quasi maximum likelihood analysis of high dimensional constrained factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 206(2), pages 574-612.
    8. Georg Keilbar & Juan M. Rodriguez-Poo & Alexandra Soberon & Weining Wang, 2022. "A semiparametric approach for interactive fixed effects panel data models," Papers 2201.11482, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
    9. French, Declan & Wu, Yuliang & Li, Youwei, 2016. "Identifying the relative importance of stock characteristics," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 80-91.
    10. Jianqing Fan & Kunpeng Li & Yuan Liao, 2020. "Recent Developments on Factor Models and its Applications in Econometric Learning," Papers 2009.10103, arXiv.org.
    11. Jianqing Fan & Yuan Liao & Han Liu, 2016. "An overview of the estimation of large covariance and precision matrices," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 19(1), pages 1-32, February.
    12. Jaeheon Jung, 2019. "Estimating a Large Covariance Matrix in Time-varying Factor Models," Papers 1910.11965, arXiv.org.
    13. Yang, Shuquan & Ling, Nengxiang, 2023. "Robust projected principal component analysis for large-dimensional semiparametric factor modeling," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    14. Gregory Connor & Lisa R. Goldberg & Robert A. Korajczyk, 2010. "Portfolio Risk Analysis," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 9224.
    15. Ge, S. & Li, S. & Linton, O., 2020. "A Dynamic Network of Arbitrage Characteristics," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2060, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    16. Park, Byeong U. & Mammen, Enno & Härdle, Wolfgang & Borak, Szymon, 2009. "Time Series Modelling With Semiparametric Factor Dynamics," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(485), pages 284-298.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Additive Models; Arbitrage pricing theory; Factor model; Fama-French; Kernel estimation; Nonparametric regression; Panel data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General

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