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The impact of police presence on drug-trade-related violence

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  • Tealde, Emiliano

Abstract

Rio de Janeiro hosted two major sports events in a two-year period: the FIFA World Cup and the Summer Olympic Games. After the announcements of the city as the host of these events, the government launched the Favela Pacification Program. The program consists in the expulsion of drug-trafficking organizations from territories where they used to exert a monopoly on violence. The identification strategy used in this paper exploits the time and space variation in the deployment of police forces and the organized crime structure of criminal activity in Rio de Janeiro to evaluate the causal effect of the program on criminal activity. The results indicate that the program caused a displacement of drug-trade-related violence. We also find that the program caused a reduction in violence in pacified territories, but this result may be the consequence of contamination of the control group.

Suggested Citation

  • Tealde, Emiliano, 2019. "The impact of police presence on drug-trade-related violence," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 123332, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:123332
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    File URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/123332/
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mirko Draca & Stephen Machin & Robert Witt, 2011. "Panic on the Streets of London: Police, Crime, and the July 2005 Terror Attacks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(5), pages 2157-2181, August.
    2. Gabriela Calderón & Gustavo Robles & Alberto Díaz-Cayeros & Beatriz Magaloni, 2015. "The Beheading of Criminal Organizations and the Dynamics of Violence in Mexico," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 59(8), pages 1455-1485, December.
    3. Rafael Di Tella & Ernesto Schargrodsky, 2004. "Do Police Reduce Crime? Estimates Using the Allocation of Police Forces After a Terrorist Attack," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(1), pages 115-133, March.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    police deployment effectiveness; organized crime; displacement of violence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law

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