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Equilibrium real exchange rates, misalignment and competitiveness in the Southern Cone

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  • Montiel, Peter J.

Abstract

To examine the evolution of competitiveness in the production of traded goods in a particular country, it is necessary not just to disentangle actual from sustained equilibrium real exchange rate (SERER); movements, but also to determine the extent to which movements in SERERs have been driven by changes in sectoral productivity performance or by other factors. This paper presents an analysis of the evolution of the competitiveness in the traded goods sectors in six Latin American countries that takes into account both of these issues. It finds that the competitiveness of the nontraditional traded goods sector has evolved in different ways among these countries during recent years. Since the mid-1990s, it has stabilized in Argentina while improving in Bolivia, Chile, Paraguay, and Uruguay. Results for Brazil are ambiguous.

Suggested Citation

  • Montiel, Peter J., 2007. "Equilibrium real exchange rates, misalignment and competitiveness in the Southern Cone," Macroeconomía del Desarrollo 5430, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    • Handle: RePEc:ecr:col037:5430
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    Cited by:

    1. Jorge Eduardo Carrera, 2008. "Tipo de cambio real de equilibrio como variable no observable," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos (CEMLA) (ed.), Estimación y Uso de Variables no Observables en la Región, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 9, pages 223-243, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    2. Marcel Schroder, 2013. "Should developing countries undervalue their currencies?," Departmental Working Papers 2013-12, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
    3. Jauhari Dahalan & Mohammed Umar & Hussin Abdullah, 2016. "Fundamentals and the Equilibrium of Real Exchange Rate of an Emerging Economy: Estimating the Exchange Rate Misalignment in Malaysia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 1665-1676.
    4. Schröder, Marcel, 2013. "Should developing countries undervalue their currencies?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 140-151.
    5. Tashu, Melesse, 2018. "Determinantes del Tipo de Cambio Real de Equilibrio en Perú: ¿Es el sol una moneda commodity?," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 36, pages 9-30.
    6. Melesse Tashu, 2015. "Drivers of Peru's Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate: Is the Nuevo Sol a Commodity Currency?," IMF Working Papers 2015/026, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Schröder, Marcel, 2017. "Mercantilism and China's hunger for international reserves," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 15-33.
    8. Wright, Nicholas Anthony, 2013. "Examining measures of the equilibrium Real Exchange Rate: Macroeconomic Balance and the Natural Real Exchange Rate Approaches," MPRA Paper 61170, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Jorge Eduardo Carrera & Gaspar Ezequiel Maciel & Esteban Emilio, 2021. "El rol de las Letras del Banco Central en los últimos 20 años de Política Monetaria Argentina," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4448, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    10. Jorge Carrera & Gaspar Maciel & Esteban Rodríguez, 2023. "El rol de los títulos emitidos por el Banco Central en los últimos 20 años de política monetaria argentina," BCRA Working Paper Series 2023107, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
    11. Mahraddika, Wishnu, 2020. "Real exchange rate misalignments in developing countries: The role of exchange rate flexibility and capital account openness," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 1-24.
    12. Eita, Joel Hinaunye & Khumalo, Zitsile Zamantungwa & Choga, Ireen, 2020. "Empirical test of the Balassa-Samuelson effect in selected African countries," MPRA Paper 101495, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Rohan Fox & Marcel Schröder, 2018. "After Papua New Guinea's Resource Boom: Is the Kina Overvalued?," Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(1), pages 65-76, January.

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