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Fire sales by euro area banks and funds: what is their asset price impact?

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  • Mirza, Harun
  • Moccero, Diego
  • Palligkinis, Spyros
  • Pancaro, Cosimo

Abstract

The assets under management of investment funds have soared in recent years, triggering a debate on their possible implications for financial stability. We contribute to this debate assessing the asset price impact of fire sales in a novel partial equilibrium model of euro area funds and banks calibrated over the period between 2008 and 2017. An initial shock to yields causes funds to sell assets to address investor redemptions, while both banks and funds sell assets to keep their leverage constant. These fire sales generate second-round price effects. We find that the potential losses due to the price impact of fire sales have decreased over time for the system. The contribution of funds to this impact is lower than that of banks. However, funds’ relative contribution has risen due to their increased assets under management and banks’ lower leverage and rebalancing towards loans. Should this trend continue, funds will become an increasingly important source of systemic risk. JEL Classification: G1, G21, G23

Suggested Citation

  • Mirza, Harun & Moccero, Diego & Palligkinis, Spyros & Pancaro, Cosimo, 2020. "Fire sales by euro area banks and funds: what is their asset price impact?," Working Paper Series 2491, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20202491
    Note: 2657905
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    3. Yoshihiko Hogen & Yoshiyasu Koide & Yuji Shinozaki, 2022. "Rise of NBFIs and the Global Structural Change in the Transmission of Market Shocks," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 22-E-14, Bank of Japan.
    4. Gourdel, Régis & Sydow, Matthias, 2023. "Non-banks contagion and the uneven mitigation of climate risk," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    5. Yoshiyasu Koide & Yoshihiko Hogen & Nao Sudo, 2022. "Increasing Portfolio Overlap of Japanese Regional Banks with Global Investment Funds and Its Financial Stability Implications," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 22-E-15, Bank of Japan.
    6. Gourdel, Régis & Sydow, Matthias, 2022. "Non-banks contagion and the uneven mitigation of climate risk," Working Paper Series 2757, European Central Bank.
    7. Cumming, Douglas & Monteiro, Pedro, 2022. "Hedge fund sales fees and the flow of funds around the world," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    8. Covi, Giovanni & Huser, Anne-Caroline, 2024. "Measuring capital at risk with financial contagion: two-sector model with banks and insurers," Bank of England working papers 1081, Bank of England.
    9. Sydow, Matthias & Fukker, Gábor & Dubiel-Teleszynski, Tomasz & Franch, Fabio & Gründl, Helmut & Miccio, Debora & Pellegrino, Michela & Gallet, Sébastien & Kotronis, Stelios & Schlütter, Sebastian & So, 2024. "Banks and non-banks stressed: liquidity shocks and the mitigating role of insurance companies," Working Paper Series 3000, European Central Bank.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    banks; financial contagion; financial stability; fire sales; investment funds; second-round price effects;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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