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Modelling fire sale contagion across banks and non-banks

Author

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  • Caccioli, Fabio
  • Ferrara, Gerardo
  • Ramadiah, Amanah

Abstract

We examine the impact of fire sales on the UK financial system through commonly held assets across different financial sectors. In particular, we model indirect contagion via fire sales across UK banks and non-banks subject to different types of constraints. We find that performing a stress simulation that does not account for common asset holdings across multiple sectors can severely underestimate the fire sale losses in the financial system. In addition, pro-rata liquidation strategy would result in a higher level of fire sale losses in the system as whole, but a waterfall strategy may produce a higher spillover effect for a passive institution (or a passive sector) that chooses not to promptly liquidate any of its assets during distress while other institutions decide to do so.

Suggested Citation

  • Caccioli, Fabio & Ferrara, Gerardo & Ramadiah, Amanah, 2024. "Modelling fire sale contagion across banks and non-banks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finsta:v:71:y:2024:i:c:s1572308924000160
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2024.101231
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    Cited by:

    1. Covi, Giovanni & Huser, Anne-Caroline, 2024. "Measuring capital at risk with financial contagion: two-sector model with banks and insurers," Bank of England working papers 1081, Bank of England.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Common asset holdings; Fire sales; Financial contagion; Systemic risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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