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Firms’ expectations on access to finance at the early stages of the Covid-19 pandemic

Author

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  • Ferrando, Annalisa
  • Ganoulis, Ioannis

Abstract

This paper provides novel information on the propagation of the pandemic-induced real shock to firms’ financial conditions. It uses firm-level survey data from end February to early April 2020 for a large sample of euro area SMEs and large firms. Firms’ expectations on the availability of credit lines, bank loans and trade credit deteriorated significantly in the first half of March. Firms mostly expected to be affected if they had previously difficulties in securing finance, had higher indebtedness and, hence, less capacity to deal with a liquidity shock. Conditional on these factors, firm size does not seem to matter, except for trade credit, in which case SMEs had more positive conditional expectations. Together with the overall deterioration of expectations, there seems to have also been a reallocation of opportunities to access finance amidst the crisis. Small firms were more likely to have conditional expectations of improvement in their access to finance. JEL Classification: C83, D22, D84, E65, L25

Suggested Citation

  • Ferrando, Annalisa & Ganoulis, Ioannis, 2020. "Firms’ expectations on access to finance at the early stages of the Covid-19 pandemic," Working Paper Series 2446, European Central Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20202446
    Note: 235236
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mark Gertler & Simon Gilchrist, 2018. "What Happened: Financial Factors in the Great Recession," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 32(3), pages 3-30, Summer.
    2. Donata Faccia & Giuseppe Corbisiero, 2020. "Firm or bank weakness? Access to finance since the European sovereign debt crisis," Trinity Economics Papers tep0320, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
    3. Dingel, Jonathan I. & Neiman, Brent, 2020. "How many jobs can be done at home?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    4. Corbisiero, Giuseppe & Faccia, Donata, 2019. "Firms' or banks' weakness? Access to finance since the European sovereign debt crisis," Research Technical Papers 12/RT/19, Central Bank of Ireland.
    5. Gebauer, Stefan & Setzer, Ralph & Westphal, Andreas, 2018. "Corporate debt and investment: A firm-level analysis for stressed euro area countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 112-130.
    6. McGuinness, Gerard & Hogan, Teresa & Powell, Ronan, 2018. "European trade credit use and SME survival," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 81-103.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Faccia, Donata & Hünnekes, Franziska & Köhler-Ulbrich, Petra, 2024. "What drives banks’ credit standards? An analysis based on a large bank-firm panel," Working Paper Series 2902, European Central Bank.
    2. Takeda, Asami & Truong, Hoa T. & Sonobe, Tetsushi, 2022. "The impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on micro, small, and medium enterprises in Asia and their digitalization responses," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    3. Marina Sheresheva & Marina Efremova & Lilia Valitova & Anna Polukhina & Georgy Laptev, 2021. "Russian Tourism Enterprises’ Marketing Innovations to Meet the COVID-19 Challenges," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-17, March.
    4. Hassan, Tarek & Hollander, Stephan & van Lent, Laurence & Schwedeler, Markus & Tahoun, Ahmed, 2020. "Firm-Level Exposure to Epidemic Diseases: Covid-19, SARS, and H1N1," CEPR Discussion Papers 14573, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Albert, Christoph & Caggese, Andrea & González, Beatriz & Martin-Sanchez, Victor, 2023. "Income inequality and entrepreneurship: Lessons from the 2020 COVID-19 recession," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    6. José Manuel Mansilla-Fernández & Juliette Milgram-Baleix, 2023. "Working capital management, financial constraints and exports: evidence from European and US manufacturers," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 1769-1810, April.
    7. Tut, Daniel, 2021. "Cash Holdings and Firm-Level Exposure to Epidemic Diseases," MPRA Paper 109704, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Covid-19; expectation formation; survey data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C83 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Survey Methods; Sampling Methods
    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E65 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
    • L25 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Performance

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