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Cross-border lending contagion in multinational banks

Author

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  • Derviz, Alexis
  • Podpiera, Jiří

Abstract

We study both theoretically and empirically the inter- dependence of lending decisions in different country branches of a multinational bank. First, we model a bank that delegates the management of its foreign unit to a local manager with non-transferable skills. The bank differs from other international investors due to a liquidity threshold which induces a depositor run and a regulatory action if attained. A separate channel of shock propagation exists since lending decisions are influenced by delegation and precautionary motives. This can entail "contagion", i.e. parallel reactions of the loan volumes in both countries to the parent bank home country disturbance. Second, we look for the presence of lending contagion by panel regression methods in a large sample of multinational banks and their affiliates. We find that the majority of multinational banks behave in line with contagion effect. In addition, the presence of contagion seems to be related to the geographical location of subsidiaries. JEL Classification: F37, G21, G28, G31

Suggested Citation

  • Derviz, Alexis & Podpiera, Jiří, 2007. "Cross-border lending contagion in multinational banks," Working Paper Series 807, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2007807
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. R. T.A. de Haas & I. P.P van Lelyveld, 2004. "Foreign Bank Penetration and Private Sector Credit in Central and Eastern Europe," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 3(2), pages 125-151, August.
    2. Calzolari, Giacomo & Loranth, Gyongyi, 2011. "Regulation of multinational banks: A theoretical inquiry," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 178-198, April.
    3. Douglas W. Diamond & Raghuram G. Rajan, 2000. "A Theory of Bank Capital," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(6), pages 2431-2465, December.
    4. Jorge A. Chan‐Lau & Zhaohui Chen, 2002. "A Theoretical Model of Financial Crisis," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(1), pages 53-63, February.
    5. Holthausen, Cornelia & Rønde, Thomas, 2004. "Cooperation in international banking supervision," Working Paper Series 316, European Central Bank.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bruno P. Arruda & Pedro L. Valls Pereira, 2013. "Analysis of the volatility's dependency structure during the subprime crisis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(36), pages 5031-5045, December.
    2. Giorgio Barba Navaretti & Giacomo Calzolari & Alberto Franco Pozzolo & Micol Levi, 2010. "Multinational banking in Europe – financial stability and regulatory implications: lessons from the financial crisis [Cross subsidies, external financing constraints, and the contribution of the in," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 25(64), pages 703-753.
    3. Alexis Derviz & Marie Rakova, 2009. "Funding Costs and Loan Pricing by Multinational Bank Affiliates," Working Papers 2009/9, Czech National Bank.
    4. Sophie Brana & Delphine Lahet, 2011. "Foreign banks and the stability of foreign and domestic credit in CEECs," Working Papers hal-00637686, HAL.
    5. repec:cnb:ocpubc:fsr1314/2 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Michael Boss & Martin Fenz & Johannes Pann & Claus Puhr & Martin Schneider & Eva Ubl, 2009. "Modeling Credit Risk through the Austrian Business Cycle: An Update of the OeNB Model," Financial Stability Report, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 17, pages 85-101.
    7. Sophie Brana & Delphine Lahet, 2011. "Foreign Banks and the Stability of Foreign and Domestic Credit in CEECs," Larefi Working Papers 201107, Larefi, Université Bordeaux 4.
    8. Alexis Derviz & Marie Raková, 2012. "Parent Influence on Loan Pricing by Czech Banks," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2012(4), pages 434-449.
    9. Jeon, Bang Nam & Olivero, María Pía & Wu, Ji, 2013. "Multinational banking and the international transmission of financial shocks: Evidence from foreign bank subsidiaries," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 952-972.
    10. Derviz, Alexis, 2013. "Bubbles, bank credit and macroprudential policies," Working Paper Series 1551, European Central Bank.
    11. Marko Krznar, 2009. "Contagion Risk in the Croatian Banking System," Working Papers 20, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
    12. Roksolana Zapotichna, 2017. "Banking On Multinationals: The Determinants Of Cross-Border Credits To Central And Eastern Europe, 1990-2015," Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Publishing house "Baltija Publishing", vol. 3(1).
    13. Michał Kruszka, 2012. "Bankowość transgraniczna w Europie Środkowo-Wschodniej," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 1-2, pages 41-64.
    14. repec:prg:jnlpep:v:2013:y:2013:i:4:id:433:p:434-499 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Bang Nam Jeon & Maria Pia Olivero & Ji Wu, 2013. "Multinational Banking and Financial Contagion: Evidence from Foreign Bank Subsidiaries," Working Papers 052013, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    delegation; diversification; lending contagion; Multinational bank; panel regression.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies

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