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Measurement of contagion in banks' equity prices

Author

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  • Gropp, Reint
  • Moerman, Gerard

Abstract

This paper uses the co-incidence of extreme shocks to banks' risk to examine within country and across country contagion among large EU banks. Banks' risk is measured by the first difference of weekly distances to default and abnormal returns. Using Monte Carlo simulations, the paper examines whether the observed frequency of large shocks experienced by two or more banks simultaneously is consistent with the assumption of a multivariate normal or a student t distribution. Further, the paper proposes a simple metric, which is used to identify contagion from one bank to another and identify "systemically important" banks in the EU. JEL Classification: G21, F36, G15

Suggested Citation

  • Gropp, Reint & Moerman, Gerard, 2003. "Measurement of contagion in banks' equity prices," Working Paper Series 297, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2003297
    Note: 56868
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    banking; contagion; Monte Carlo Simulations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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