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Role of cross currency swap markets in funding and investment decisions

Author

Listed:
  • Brophy, Thomas
  • Herrala, Niko
  • Jurado, Raquel
  • Katsalirou, Irene
  • Le Quéau, Léa
  • Lizarazo, Christian
  • O’Donnell, Seamus

Abstract

A US dollar funding premium in the EUR/USD cross currency swap market has been in existence since 2008. Whilst there are many reasons behind this dislocation, since 2014 the divergence in monetary policy between the euro area and the United States has played a growing role. This paper aims at exploring and gaining more insight into the role the Eurosystem’s Expanded Asset purchase Programme (APP) has had in guiding investment and funding decisions and its influence on the cross currency basis. The downward pressure on yields, exerted by the APP, has made euro assets less attractive and has led investors to search for yield abroad. At the same time, the decline in yields and tighter credit spreads have attracted US corporate issuers to the euro market in search of cheaper funding costs. These cross-border flows from issuers and investors have played a strong role in driving the US dollar funding premium. The purpose of this study is to gauge whether these changing trends in cross-border flows have implications for the implementation of the Eurosystem’s APP. Beyond the structural increase in the US dollar funding premium described above, a cyclical component has led to an amplification of the premium over balance sheet reporting dates, due to new bank regulations. This paper also analyses the behaviour of euro area banks in cross currency swap markets over balance sheet reporting dates, using the money market statistical reporting (MMSR) dataset in order to discern whether the increase in the US dollar funding premium at these specific points in time has an adverse impact on the transmission of monetary policy. JEL Classification: D53, E52, G11, G15, G18

Suggested Citation

  • Brophy, Thomas & Herrala, Niko & Jurado, Raquel & Katsalirou, Irene & Le Quéau, Léa & Lizarazo, Christian & O’Donnell, Seamus, 2019. "Role of cross currency swap markets in funding and investment decisions," Occasional Paper Series 228, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbops:2019228
    Note: 2838224
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Claudio Borio & Robert Neil McCauley & Patrick McGuire & Vladyslav Sushko, 2016. "Covered interest parity lost: understanding the cross-currency basis," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    2. Marcel Fratzscher & Marco Lo Duca & Roland Straub, 2018. "On the International Spillovers of US Quantitative Easing," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 128(608), pages 330-377, February.
    3. Dietrich Domanski & Hyun Song Shin & Vladyslav Sushko, 2017. "The Hunt for Duration: Not Waving but Drowning?," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 65(1), pages 113-153, April.
    4. Wenxin Du & Alexander Tepper & Adrien Verdelhan, 2018. "Deviations from Covered Interest Rate Parity," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 73(3), pages 915-957, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Dr. Albi Tola & Dr. Miriam Koomen & Amalia Repele, 2020. "Deviations from covered interest rate parity and capital outflows: The case of Switzerland," Working Papers 2020-08, Swiss National Bank.
    2. Alexis Stenfors & Lilian Muchimba, 2023. "The Transmission Mechanism of Stress in the International Banking System," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2023-03, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
    3. Kai Schellekens & Patty Duijm, 2022. "Effectiveness of Central Bank Swap Lines in Alleviating the Mispricing of FX Swaps at the Start of the COVID-19 Pandemic," Working Papers 752, DNB.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    balance sheet constraints; balance sheet reporting dates; cross-border investment and funding flows; cross currency basis swap; monetary policy divergence; US dollar funding premium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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