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The method of simulated quantiles

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  • Yves Dominicy
  • David Veredas

Abstract

We introduce an inference method based on quantiles matching, which is useful for situations where the density function does not have a closed form –but it is simple to simulate– and/or moments do not exist. Functions of theoretical quantiles, which depend on the parameters of the assumed probability law, are matched with sample quantiles, which depend on observations. Since the theoretical quantiles may not be available analytically, the optimization is based on simulations. We illustrate the method with the estimation of α-stable distributions. A thorough Monte Carlo study and an illustration to 22 financial indexes show the usefulness of the method.

Suggested Citation

  • Yves Dominicy & David Veredas, 2010. "The method of simulated quantiles," Working Papers ECARES 2010-008, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    • Handle: RePEc:eca:wpaper:2013/230859
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. McFadden, Daniel, 1989. "A Method of Simulated Moments for Estimation of Discrete Response Models without Numerical Integration," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(5), pages 995-1026, September.
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    5. Duffie, Darrell & Singleton, Kenneth J, 1993. "Simulated Moments Estimation of Markov Models of Asset Prices," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 929-952, July.
    6. Ghose, Devajyoti & Kroner, Kenneth F., 1995. "The relationship between GARCH and symmetric stable processes: Finding the source of fat tails in financial data," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 2(3), pages 225-251, September.
    7. Marine Carrasco & Jean-Pierre Florens, 2000. "Efficient GMM Estimation Using the Empirical Characteristic Function," Working Papers 2000-33, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    8. Gourieroux, C & Monfort, A & Renault, E, 1993. "Indirect Inference," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(S), pages 85-118, Suppl. De.
    9. Press, S. J., 1972. "Multivariate stable distributions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 2(4), pages 444-462, December.
    10. de Vries, Casper G., 1991. "On the relation between GARCH and stable processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 48(3), pages 313-324, June.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Adam Misiorek & Rafal Weron, 2010. "Heavy-tailed distributions in VaR calculations," HSC Research Reports HSC/10/05, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    2. Borak, Szymon & Misiorek, Adam & Weron, Rafał, 2010. "Models for heavy-tailed asset returns," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2010-049, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    3. Ogata, Hiroaki, 2013. "Estimation for multivariate stable distributions with generalized empirical likelihood," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(2), pages 248-254.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Quantiles; simulated methods; α-stable distribution; fat tails;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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