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Dynamics of biofuel prices on the European market: Impact of the EU environmental policy on the resources markets

Author

Listed:
  • Declerck, Francis

    (ESSEC Research Center, ESSEC Business School)

  • Indjehagopian, Jean-Pierre

    (ESSEC Research Center, ESSEC Business School)

  • Lantz, Frédéric

    (IFP School)

Abstract

This paper aims at explaining the major drivers of biodiesel market prices by examining agricultural resource prices and gasoil prices for automotive fuels in the context of the EU environmental policy. The EU policy has enhanced biodiesel production since 2006. Biodiesel prices are impacted by the EU policy as well as rapeseed and oil prices which have fluctuated a lot over the last decade. An econometric analysis was performed using monthly data from November 2006 to January 2016. However, tests for structural breaks show several changes in price behavior. This leads us to estimate a regime-switching model which reveals two main regimes for the biodiesel price pattern. When oil prices are high, biodiesel, rapeseed and diesel oil prices are related, mainly driven by oil prices. When oil prices are low, biodiesel prices are mostly related to rapeseed prices according to EU regulations requiring the blending of biodiesel and gasoil.

Suggested Citation

  • Declerck, Francis & Indjehagopian, Jean-Pierre & Lantz, Frédéric, 2020. "Dynamics of biofuel prices on the European market: Impact of the EU environmental policy on the resources markets," ESSEC Working Papers WP2003, ESSEC Research Center, ESSEC Business School, revised 21 Feb 2020.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebg:essewp:dr-20003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    biofuel; oil market; structural changes; switching regime model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • Q16 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - R&D; Agricultural Technology; Biofuels; Agricultural Extension Services
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources

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