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Persistence in the Cryptocurrency Market

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  • Guglielmo Maria Caporale
  • Luis Gil-Alana
  • Alex Plastun

Abstract

This paper examines persistence in the cryptocurrency market. Two different longmemory methods (R/S analysis and fractional integration) are used to analyse it in the case of the four main cryptocurrencies (BitCoin, LiteCoin, Ripple, Dash) over the sample period 2013-2017. The findings indicate that this market exhibits persistence (there is a positive correlation between its past and future values), and that its degree changes over time. Such predictability represents evidence of market inefficiency: trend trading strategies can be used to generate abnormal profits in the cryptocurrency market.

Suggested Citation

  • Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun, 2017. "Persistence in the Cryptocurrency Market," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1703, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp1703
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crypto currency; BitCoin; persistence; long memory; R/S analysis; fractional integration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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