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Inference Based on Many Conditional Moment Inequalities

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Abstract

In this paper, we construct confidence sets for models defined by many conditional moment inequalities/equalities. The conditional moment restrictions in the models can be finite, countably in finite, or uncountably in finite. To deal with the complication brought about by the vast number of moment restrictions, we exploit the manageability (Pollard (1990)) of the class of moment functions. We verify the manageability condition in five examples from the recent partial identification literature. The proposed confidence sets are shown to have correct asymptotic size in a uniform sense and to exclude parameter values outside the identified set with probability approaching one. Monte Carlo experiments for a conditional stochastic dominance example and a random-coefficients binary-outcome example support the theoretical results.

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  • Donald W.K. Andrews & Xiaoxia Shi, 2015. "Inference Based on Many Conditional Moment Inequalities," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2010R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Apr 2016.
  • Handle: RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:2010r
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    Cited by:

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    3. Hsu, Yu-Chin & Shen, Shu, 2019. "Testing treatment effect heterogeneity in regression discontinuity designs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(2), pages 468-486.
    4. Xavier D'Haultf{oe}uille & Christophe Gaillac & Arnaud Maurel, 2022. "Partially Linear Models under Data Combination," Papers 2204.05175, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    5. Lok, Thomas M. & Tabri, Rami V., 2021. "An improved bootstrap test for restricted stochastic dominance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(2), pages 371-393.
    6. Xavier D'Haultfoeuille & Christophe Gaillac & Arnaud Maurel, 2021. "Rationalizing rational expectations: Characterizations and tests," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(3), pages 817-842, July.
    7. Firpo, Sergio & Galvao, Antonio F. & Parker, Thomas, 2023. "Uniform inference for value functions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1680-1699.
    8. Parker, Thomas, 2019. "Asymptotic inference for the constrained quantile regression process," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 174-189.
    9. Shosei Sakaguchi, 2024. "Partial identification and inference in duration models with endogenous censoring," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 308-326, March.
    10. Kengo Kato & Yuya Sasaki & Takuya Ura, 2021. "Robust inference in deconvolution," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(1), pages 109-142, January.
    11. Semenova, Vira, 2023. "Debiased machine learning of set-identified linear models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1725-1746.
    12. Rami V. Tabri & Mathew J. Elias, 2024. "Testing for Restricted Stochastic Dominance under Survey Nonresponse with Panel Data: Theory and an Evaluation of Poverty in Australia," Papers 2406.15702, arXiv.org.
    13. Rami V. Tabri & Christopher D. Walker, 2020. "Inference for Moment Inequalities: A Constrained Moment Selection Procedure," Papers 2008.09021, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    14. Valentina Corradi & Sainan Jin & Norman R. Swanson, 2023. "Robust forecast superiority testing with an application to assessing pools of expert forecasters," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 596-622, June.
    15. Yonghong An & Pengfei Liu, 2020. "Eliciting Information from Sensitive Survey Questions," Papers 2009.01430, arXiv.org.
    16. Fakih, Ali & Makdissi, Paul & Marrouch, Walid & Tabri, Rami V. & Yazbeck, Myra, 2022. "A stochastic dominance test under survey nonresponse with an application to comparing trust levels in Lebanese public institutions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 228(2), pages 342-358.
    17. Marcoux, Mathieu & Russell, Thomas M. & Wan, Yuanyuan, 2024. "A simple specification test for models with many conditional moment inequalities," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 242(1).
    18. Thomas M. Russell, 2020. "Policy Transforms and Learning Optimal Policies," Papers 2012.11046, arXiv.org.
    19. Ganesh Karapakula, 2023. "Stable Probability Weighting: Large-Sample and Finite-Sample Estimation and Inference Methods for Heterogeneous Causal Effects of Multivalued Treatments Under Limited Overlap," Papers 2301.05703, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
    20. Irene Botosaru & Chris Muris, 2022. "Identification of time-varying counterfactual parameters in nonlinear panel models," Papers 2212.09193, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    21. Yu‐Chin Hsu & Shu Shen, 2021. "Testing monotonicity of conditional treatment effects under regression discontinuity designs," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(3), pages 346-366, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asymptotic size; Conditional moment inequalities; Confidence set; Many moments; Multiple equilibria; Partial identification; Random coefficients; Stochastic dominance; Test;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables

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