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Expected Labour Demand in South Africa, 1998-2003

Author

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  • Morne Oosthuizen

    (Development Policy Research Unit, University of Cape Town)

Abstract

The current misalignment of labour supply and demand in South Africa constitutes one of the factors that hold back the countrys economic growth. Consequently, efforts have recently been made to estimate future labour demand so that current policies are designed in such a way as to attempt to minimise the skills mismatch. This paper investigates one such study that forecasts formal sector non-agricultural labour demand for the period 1998 to 2003. The paper also looks at the extent to which the forecasts deviate from previous trends and identifies some reasons underlying the varying accuracy of the forecasts across different sectors and occupations. Generally, however, the forecast predicts increased demand for labour in higher-skilled occupations and in the non-government tertiary sector, a continuation of previous labour market trends.

Suggested Citation

  • Morne Oosthuizen, 2003. "Expected Labour Demand in South Africa, 1998-2003," Working Papers 03081, University of Cape Town, Development Policy Research Unit.
    • Handle: RePEc:ctw:wpaper:03081
    as

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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/7383
    File Function: First version, 2003
    Download Restriction: no
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. H. Bhorat, 1999. "The October Household Survey, Unemployment and the Informal Sector: A Note," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 67(2), pages 143-146, June.
    2. Haroon Bhorat, 2004. "Labour Market Challenges In The Post‐Apartheid South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 72(5), pages 940-977, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Morne Oosthuizen, 2006. "The Post-Apartheid Labour Market: 1995-2004," Working Papers 06103, University of Cape Town, Development Policy Research Unit.
    2. Morne Oosthuizen & Haroon Bhorat, 2005. "The Post-Apartheid South African Labour Market," Working Papers 05093, University of Cape Town, Development Policy Research Unit.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    South Africa: non-agricultural labour demand; labour supply and demand;

    JEL classification:

    • A1 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics

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