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Do Natural Resources Attract FDI? Evidence from Non-Stationary Sector-Level Data

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  • van der Ploeg, Frederick
  • Poelhekke, Steven

Abstract

A new and extensive panel of outward foreign direct investment (FDI) at the sector level is used to estimate the determinants of non-resource and resource FDI. Since FDI is I(1), we estimate panel error-correction models of FDI with spatial lags for FDI and market potential. Our main result is that subsoil assets boost resource FDI, but crowd out non-resource FDI. The effect on non-resource FDI dominates, so that aggregate FDI is less in resource-rich countries. Spatial lags aggravate this crowding out of non-resource FDI. In addition, we find that (i) resource FDI is mainly vertical whereas other FDI is of the export-fragmentation variety; (ii) trade openness, free trade agreements and institutional quality do not impact non-resource FDI but institutional quality does have a positive effect on resource FDI; and (iii) the short-run dynamics comes mostly from shocks to FDI itself. Our main and ancillary results are robust to different measures of resource reserves and the oil price and to allowing for sample selection bias.

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  • van der Ploeg, Frederick & Poelhekke, Steven, 2010. "Do Natural Resources Attract FDI? Evidence from Non-Stationary Sector-Level Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 8079, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:8079
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    7. Hasanov, Fakhri & Bulut, Cihan & Suleymanov, Elchin, 2017. "Review of energy-growth nexus: A panel analysis for ten Eurasian oil exporting countries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 369-386.
    8. Ofori-Sasu, Daniel & Adu-Darko, Eunice & Asamoah, Michael Effah & Abor, Joshua Yindenaba, 2023. "Oil rents, trade environment and financial development: An international evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    9. Michael Kofi Hanson (M.Phil), 2024. "Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth: The Role of Natural Resources and Trade Openness in Ghana," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(3), pages 1347-1361, March.
    10. Elheddad, Mohamed M., 2018. "What determines FDI inflow to MENA countries? Empirical study on Gulf countries: Sectoral level analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 332-339.
    11. Aleksynska, Mariya & Havrylchyk, Olena, 2013. "FDI from the south: The role of institutional distance and natural resources," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 38-53.
    12. Tanguy Bonnet, 2023. "Foreign Direct Investment and Strategic Minerals," EconomiX Working Papers 2023-7, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    13. Thi Anh Dam & Markus Pasche & Niclas Werlich, 2017. "Trade Patterns and the Ecological Footprint - a theory-based Empirical Approach," Jena Economics Research Papers 2017-005, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    14. Chupryhin, Radzivon, 2021. "Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Europe: Bayesian Model Averaging in the Presence of Weak Exogeneity," MPRA Paper 107197, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Asamoah, Michael Effah & Adjasi, Charles K.D. & Alhassan, Abdul Latif, 2016. "Macroeconomic uncertainty, foreign direct investment and institutional quality: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 612-621.
    16. Choi, Jongmoo Jay & Lee, Sang Mook & Shoham, Amir, 2016. "The effects of institutional distance on FDI inflow: General environmental institutions (GEI) versus minority investor protection institutions (MIP)," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 114-123.
    17. Basesa Jumanne, Bilali & Chee Keong, Choong, 2018. "Foreign Direct Investment and Natural Resources in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Role of Institutions towards the Africa We Want “2063 Vision”," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 6(1), January.
    18. Ruba Aljarallah, 2021. "An Analysis of the Impact of Rents from Non-renewable Natural Resources and Changes in Human Capital on Institutional Quality: A Case Study of Kuwait," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(5), pages 224-234.
    19. Olatunji Abdul Shobande, 2022. "Does FDI Promote the Resource Curse in Nigeria?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-15, September.
    20. Ghassan F. Hanna & Mohamad Saleh Hammoud & Judith A. Russo-Converso, 2014. "Foreign Direct Investment in Post-Conflict Countries: The Case of Iraq s Oil and Electricity Sectors," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 4(2), pages 137-148.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Co-integration tests; External margin; Hydrocarbon reserves; Outward sector level fdi; Sample selection bias; Spatial econometrics; Subsoil assets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • Q33 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Resource Booms (Dutch Disease)

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