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Monetary Union, Money Demand and Money Supply: A Review of the German Monetary Union

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  • von Hagen, Jürgen

Abstract

We present an empirical analysis of German money demand, money supply and monetary policy after German monetary union in 1990. Empirical models for velocity and forecast models for the money multiplier are estimated. Stability analysis reveals that structural stability of the demand for broad money after monetary union must be rejected; stability of the demand for narrow money can be accepted. East German portfolio adjustment with regard to the structure of monetary portfolios occurred quite rapidly. The increase in monetary control uncertainty caused by these adjustments did not, however, impede monetary targeting with reasonable precision.

Suggested Citation

  • von Hagen, Jürgen, 1992. "Monetary Union, Money Demand and Money Supply: A Review of the German Monetary Union," CEPR Discussion Papers 719, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:719
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    Cited by:

    1. Ivo Arnold, 2003. "A Regional Analysis of German Money Demand Around Reunification with Implications for EMU," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 30(1), pages 63-80, March.
    2. Bernd Hayo, 2000. "The demand for money in Austria," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 581-603.
    3. J.M. Groeneveld & K.G. Koedijk & C.J.M. Kool, 1997. "Money, prices and the transition to EMU," Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 50(203), pages 481-504.
    4. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Bohl, Martin T., 2000. "German monetary unification and the stability of the German M3 money demand function," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 66(2), pages 203-208, February.
    5. Bernd Hayo, 1999. "Estimating A European Demand For Money," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 46(3), pages 221-244, August.
    6. Franz, Wolfgang & Heidbrink, Gustav W. & Smolny, Werner, 1993. "The impact of German unification on West Germany's goods and labor market: A macroeconometric disequilibrium model in action," Discussion Papers 7, University of Konstanz, Center for International Labor Economics (CILE).
    7. Browne, F.X. & Fagan, G. & Henry, J., 1997. "Money Demand in EU Countries : A Survey," Papers 7, European Monetary Institute.
    8. Jorg Bibow, 2005. "Bad for Euroland, Worse for Germany: The ECB's Record," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_429, Levy Economics Institute.
    9. Wieland, Volker, 2000. "Monetary policy, parameter uncertainty and optimal learning," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 199-228, August.
    10. Scharnagl, Michael, 1996. "Monetary aggregates with special reference to structural changes in the financial markets," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 1996,02e, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    11. Philip Arestis & Malcolm Sawyer, 2001. "Will the Euro Bring Economic Crisis to Europe?," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Philip Arestis & Michelle Baddeley & John McCombie (ed.), What Global Economic Crisis?, chapter 5, pages 78-103, Palgrave Macmillan.
    12. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hafez Rehman, 2005. "Stability of the money demand function in Asian developing countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(7), pages 773-792.
    13. Nautz, Dieter, 1997. "Wie brauchbar sind Multiplikatorprognosen für die Geldmengensteuerung der Bundesbank?," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1997,40, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
    14. Eric Parrado & Andrés Velasco, 2013. "Fiscal policy management: the experience of Chile," Papers and Proceedings 11510, Fondo Latino Americano de Reservas - FLAR.
    15. Jörg Bibow, 2001. "On the 'Burden' of German Unification: The Economic Consequences of Messrs. Waigel and Tietmeyer," Macroeconomics 0106004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Renato Filosa, 1995. "Money demand stability and currency substitution in six European countries (1980-1992)," BIS Working Papers 30, Bank for International Settlements.
    17. Roberto Golinelli & Sergio Pastorello, 2002. "Modelling the demand for M3 in the Euro area," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 371-401.
    18. Luis Felipe Céspedes & Eric Parrado & Andrés Velasco, 2014. "Fiscal Rules and the Management of Natural Resource Revenues: The Case of Chile," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 6(1), pages 105-132, October.
    19. repec:bla:perwir:v:5:y:2004:i:4:p:423-453 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Polster, Rainer & Gottschling, Andreas, 1999. "Stability issues in German money multiplier forecasts," Research Notes 99-8, Deutsche Bank Research.
    21. Scharnagl, Michael, 1996. "Geldmengenaggregate unter Berücksichtigung struktureller Veränderungen an den Finanzmärkten," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 1996,02, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    22. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Sahar Bahmani & Alice Kones & Ali M. Kutan, 2015. "Policy uncertainty and the demand for money in the United Kingdom," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(11), pages 1151-1157, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary Policy; Monetary Union; Money Demand;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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