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Consumption Tax Cuts in a Recession

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  • Parodi, Francesca

Abstract

In this paper, I use an estimated structural life-cycle model featuring multiple consumption categories to assess the effectiveness of temporary cuts to the Value Added Tax (VAT) rates on non-durable luxuries and durables as fiscal stimulus instruments during recessions. I find a tax elasticity smaller than 0.5 for non-durable luxuries and a tax elasticity of around 10 for durables. I show that the tax cut on non-durables has an intratemporal substitution effect on non-durables, while the tax cut on durables acts through an intertemporal substitution mechanism in the purchase of durables that is stronger for high income, liquidity unconstrained, and younger households. This mechanism is amplified in less persistent recessions and dampened in the absence of a recession due to the interaction of durables’ partial irreversibility with precautionary saving motives.

Suggested Citation

  • Parodi, Francesca, 2023. "Consumption Tax Cuts in a Recession," CEPR Discussion Papers 17953, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:17953
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Taxation; Consumption; Durable goods; Saving; Welfare;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D11 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Theory
    • D15 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Intertemporal Household Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving
    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household

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