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Consumption Responses to Temporary Tax Incentives: Evidence from State Sales Tax Holidays

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  • Sumit Agarwal
  • Nathan Marwell
  • Leslie McGranahan

Abstract

States offer sales tax holidays (STHs) temporarily exempting items like clothes, shoes, and school supplies from the state sales tax. Spending response to these temporary tax changes are investigated using two datasets: the Diary portion of the Consumer Expenditure Survey and a unique dataset of credit card transactions. Results based on a difference-in-differences methodology show that there are substantial increases in spending on covered goods during these holidays that are not offset by declines in spending before or after the holidays.

Suggested Citation

  • Sumit Agarwal & Nathan Marwell & Leslie McGranahan, 2017. "Consumption Responses to Temporary Tax Incentives: Evidence from State Sales Tax Holidays," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 9(4), pages 1-27, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:aejpol:v:9:y:2017:i:4:p:1-27
    Note: DOI: 10.1257/pol.20130429
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Mallick Hossain, 2020. "A World Without Borders Revisited: The Impact of Online Sales Tax Collection on Shopping and Search," Working Papers 20-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    2. Agarwal, Sumit & Koo, Kang Mo & Qian, Wenlan, 2022. "Consumption response to temporary price shock: Evidence from Singapore's annual sale event," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    3. Guney, Ibrahim Ethem & Hacihasanoglu, Yavuz Selim & Tumen, Semih, 2017. "Consumer Loan Response to Permanent Labor Income Shocks: Evidence from a Major Minimum Wage Increase," GLO Discussion Paper Series 58, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    4. Claudio Michelacci & Andrea Pozzi & Luigi Paciello, 2018. "The extensive margin of aggregate consumption demand," 2018 Meeting Papers 1008, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Agarwal, Sumit & Ambrose, Brent W. & Diop, Moussa, 2022. "Minimum wage increases and eviction risk," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    6. Ruling Hong & Mengxun Liu & Haoming Yang & Qianqian Zhang, 2023. "What Drives China’s Exports: Evidence from a Domestic Consumption Expansion Policy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-15, February.
    7. Francesca Parodi, 2024. "Consumption Tax Cuts In A Recession," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(1), pages 117-148, February.
    8. R. Andrew Butters & Daniel F. Spulber, 2020. "The Extent Of The Market And Integration Through Factor Markets: Evidence From Wholesale Electricity," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 58(3), pages 1076-1108, July.
    9. Toke Aidt & Zareh Asatryan & Lusine Badalyan & Friedrich Heinemann, 2020. "Vote Buying or (Political) Business (Cycles) as Usual?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(3), pages 409-425, July.
    10. Scott R. Baker & Lorenz Kueng & Leslie McGranahan & Brian T. Melzer, 2019. "Do Household Finances Constrain Unconventional Fiscal Policy?," Tax Policy and the Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 33(1), pages 1-32.
    11. Ionel Bostan & Valentina Diana Rusu, 2021. "The Consumption of Alcoholic Beverages Can Be Reduced by Fiscal Means? Study on the Case of Romania," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-21, July.
    12. Khan, Shafaat Yar & Khederlarian, Armen, 2021. "How does trade respond to anticipated tariff changes? Evidence from NAFTA," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    13. Luo, Changyuan & Luo, Qin & Zeng, Shuai, 2022. "Bilateral tax agreement and FDI inflows: Evidence from Hong Kong investment in the Mainland China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    14. Scott R. Baker & Stephanie Johnson & Lorenz Kueng, 2021. "Shopping for Lower Sales Tax Rates," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 209-250, July.
    15. Jean‐François Houde & Peter Newberry & Katja Seim, 2023. "Nexus Tax Laws and Economies of Density in E‐Commerce: A Study of Amazon's Fulfillment Center Network," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(1), pages 147-190, January.
    16. Samina Sultan, 2020. "Who Carries the Burden of the Value-Added Tax? Evidence from Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 8803, CESifo.
    17. Mallick Hossain, 2022. "A world without borders revisited: Impact of online sales tax collection on shopping and search," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 48-63, February.
    18. Sumit Agarwal & Wenlan Qian & Xin Zou, 2021. "Disaggregated Sales and Stock Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(11), pages 7167-7183, November.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • H25 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Business Taxes and Subsidies
    • H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household
    • H71 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue

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