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Empirical Evaluation of Overspecified Asset Pricing Models

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  • Sentana, Enrique
  • Manresa, Elena
  • Penaranda, Francisco

Abstract

Asset pricing models with potentially too many risk factors are increasingly common in empirical work. Unfortunately, they can yield misleading statistical inferences. Unlike other studies focusing on the properties of standard estimators and tests, we estimate the sets of SDFs and risk prices compatible with the asset pricing restrictions of a given model. We also propose tests to detect problematic situations with economically meaningless SDFs uncorrelated to the test assets. We confirm the empirical relevance of our proposed estimators and tests with Yogo's (2006) linearized version of the consumption CAPM, and provide Monte Carlo evidence on their reliability in finite samples.

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  • Sentana, Enrique & Manresa, Elena & Penaranda, Francisco, 2017. "Empirical Evaluation of Overspecified Asset Pricing Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 12085, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:12085
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    Cited by:

    1. Gospodinov, Nikolay & Kan, Raymond & Robotti, Cesare, 2019. "Too good to be true? Fallacies in evaluating risk factor models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(2), pages 451-471.
    2. Doron Avramov & Si Cheng & Lior Metzker & Stefan Voigt, 2023. "Integrating Factor Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(3), pages 1593-1646, June.
    3. Laurinaityte, Nora & Meinerding, Christoph & Schlag, Christian & Thimme, Julian, 2024. "GMM weighting matrices in cross-sectional asset pricing tests," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    4. Sentana, Enrique, 2024. "Finite underidentification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 240(1).
    5. Karim, Sitara & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2024. "When one domino falls, others follow: A machine learning analysis of extreme risk spillovers in developed stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Factor pricing models; Set estimation; Stochastic discount factor; Underidentification tests; Continuously updated gmm;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

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