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Efecto de Restricciones de VaR sobre Coberturas en Mercados Eléctricos

Author

Listed:
  • Alfredo Trespalacios Carrasquilla
  • Juan Fernando Rendón
  • Javier Orlando Pantoja Robayo

Abstract

En este trabajo se analiza el efecto que tienen las restricciones de VaR sobre la selecci on de la cantidad de contratos forward en un mercado el ectrico y el momento en que se debe realizar la operaci on de cobertu- ra cuando un agente busca maximizar el valor esperado de su bene cio ajustado por riesgo y enfrenta incertidumbre por volumen. Se asume un mercado el ectrico cuyo precio spot presenta caracter sticas de estacionali- dad y reversi on a la media y que el precio de los contratos forward exhibe una prima de riesgo (Forward Risk Premium).

Suggested Citation

  • Alfredo Trespalacios Carrasquilla & Juan Fernando Rendón & Javier Orlando Pantoja Robayo, 2012. "Efecto de Restricciones de VaR sobre Coberturas en Mercados Eléctricos," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 10666, Universidad EAFIT.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000122:010666
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:4:p:1877-1900 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Unknown, 2005. "Forward," 2005 Conference: Slovenia in the EU - Challenges for Agriculture, Food Science and Rural Affairs, November 10-11, 2005, Moravske Toplice, Slovenia 183804, Slovenian Association of Agricultural Economists (DAES).
    3. María Dolores Furió & Vicente Meneu, 2009. "Expectations and Forward Risk Premium in the Spanish Power Market," Working Papers. Serie AD 2009-02, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
    4. Huisman, R. & Mahieu, R.J. & Schlichter, F., 2007. "Hedging Exposure to Electricity Price Risk in a Value at Risk Framework," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2007-013-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Mercado electrico; cobertura; instrumentos derivados; VaR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General

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