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¿Otra vez? Una sencilla visión de la convergencia económica en los departamentos de Colombia: 1975-2005

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  • Nestor Iván González-Quintero

Abstract

Se evalúa la llamada hipótesis de convergencia condicionada en el período 1975-2005 entre los departamentos de Colombia. Se utilizarán dos metodologías. La primera, de carácter paramétrico, consiste en la estimación de una ecuación de convergencia por medio de un modelo dinámico de panel de datos. Como complemento, se lleva a cabo un análisis de estimación no paramétrico de la distribución del ingreso per cápita de los departamentos a través de kerneles estocásticos. A pesar de que en el primer experimento la estimación sugiere un proceso de convergencia lento entre departamentos similares cercano al 1.5% por año, la dinámica de la distribución muestra persistencia y polarización, lo cual sugiere que no es la hipótesis de convergencia condicionada, sino la de clubes de convergencia la que caracteriza la dinámica de crecimiento de las regiones.

Suggested Citation

  • Nestor Iván González-Quintero, 2011. "¿Otra vez? Una sencilla visión de la convergencia económica en los departamentos de Colombia: 1975-2005," Archivos de Economía 9230, Departamento Nacional de Planeación.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000118:009230
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crecimiento económico; Convergencia; Modelo de Panel de DatosDinámico; Dinámica de la Distribucion;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

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