IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/col/000103/013868.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

¿Crecer para exportar o exportar para crecer? El caso del Valle del Cauca

Author

Listed:
  • Julio César Alonso
  • Carlos Ignacio Patiño F

Abstract

Este documento investiga la validez de la hipótesis de crecimiento económico basado en el incremento de las exportaciones empleando datos anuales para el Valle del Cauca durante el periodo 1960 – 2000. No se encuentra evidencia suficiente para validar la relación causal que supone la hipótesis de crecimiento económico basado en exportaciones. Se emplea un modelo VAR que incluye la producción y exportaciones departamentales, y dos variables de control, producción nacional y tasa de cambio real. Los resultados obtenidos suponen una relación causal que va de producción a exportaciones. Las funciones de impulso respuesta estimadas indican que la producción en el Valle del Cauca genera un impacto positivo en las exportaciones mientras que el hecho contrario no ocurre. Los resultados obtenidos para el Valle del Cauca son consistentes con los obtenidos a nivel nacional. This document investigates the validity of the export-led growth hypothesis using annual data for the Valle del Cauca (Colombia) from 1960 to 2000. No evidence is found to support the causal relation behind the export-led growth hypothesis. A VAR model that includes the regional output, the regional exports and, two control variables: national output and real exchange rate is employed. The results show a causal relation that goes from output to exports. The estimated impulse-response functions indicate that output in the Valle del Cauca generates a positive impact on exports while the opposite does not occur. The regional level results (Valle del Cauca) are consistent with the national level results (Colombia).

Suggested Citation

  • Julio César Alonso & Carlos Ignacio Patiño F, 2007. "¿Crecer para exportar o exportar para crecer? El caso del Valle del Cauca," Ensayos Sobre Economía Regional (ESER) 13868, Banco de la República - Economía Regional.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000103:013868
    DOI: 10.32468/eser.46
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.32468/eser.46
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.32468/eser.46?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Andrés Mauricio Gómez Sánchez & Zoraida Ramírez Gutiérrez, 2017. "Causalidad entre las importaciones y el crecimiento económico: evidencia empírica para el departamento del Cauca (Colombia)," Revista Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Militar Nueva Granada, vol. 25(2), pages 41-62, September.
    2. Ortiz, Carlos Humberto & Uribe, José Ignacio & Vivas, Harvy, 2010. "Empleo formal y empresas modernas," Perfil de Coyuntura Económica, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, November.
    3. Juan Manuel Candelo Viafara, 2018. "Impactos indirectos de la tasa de cambio y los precios del petróleo en una economía no petrolera: aproximaciones VECM y VAR para el Valle del Cauca, Colombia," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 10(2), pages 403-436, November.
    4. Javier Alejandro Vera Vargas & Werner Kristjanpoller Rodríguez, 2017. "Granger causality between exports, economic growth and electricity production: empirical evidence for Latin America," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 86, pages 25-62, Enero - J.
    5. Vera Vargas, Javier Alejandro & Kristjanpoller Rodríguez, Werner, 2016. "Causalidad de Granger entre composición de las exportaciones, crecimiento económico y producción de energía eléctrica: evidencia empírica para Latinoamérica," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 86, pages 25-62, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Export-led-growth; Growth-driven exports; Prueba de Causalidad; Exportaciones; Valle del Cauca;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:col:000103:013868. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Banco De La República - Economía Regional (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cbcgvco.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.