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A dynamic approach to intraday liquidity needs

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  • Freddy Cepeda L.
  • Fabio Ortega C.

Abstract

This paper presents a methodology to estimate the intraday liquidity that systemically important entities (SIE) need to fulfill all its obligations in a timely fashion, when a simulated failure-to-pay from its main liquidity supplier by discretionary concepts of payment occurs. Using the Bank of Finland’s simulator and the fund transfer data from Colombian large value payment system, we achieve a dynamic estimation measuring three types of effects (direct, second round and feedback). The results validate the existence of a non-linear relationship between the initial failure-to-pay of a specific institution and extended failures-to-pay to the rest of system. An Intraday Liquidity Sufficiency Index is proposed to quantify the average amount of additional liquidity needed to fulfill timely all SIE’s obligations without generating second-round effects. Our methodology and recommendations contribute to the international discussion on management intraday liquidity risk, to efficiency and security of the payment system, and ultimately to financial stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Freddy Cepeda L. & Fabio Ortega C., 2015. "A dynamic approach to intraday liquidity needs," Borradores de Economia 12686, Banco de la Republica.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000094:012686
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ackermann, Josef, 2008. "The subprime crisis and its consequences," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 329-337, December.
    2. Ball, Alan & Denbee, Edward & Manning, Mark & Wetherilt, Anne, 2011. "Financial Stability Paper No 11: Intraday Liquidity - Risk and Regulation," Bank of England Financial Stability Papers 11, Bank of England.
    3. repec:zbw:bofism:1998_014 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Carlos Léon & Clara Machado, 2011. "Designing an expert knowledge-based Systemic Importance Index for financial institutions," Borradores de Economia 8953, Banco de la Republica.
    5. Kenneth R. French & Martin N. Baily & John Y. Campbell & John H. Cochrane & Douglas W. Diamond & Darrell Duffie & Anil K Kashyap & Frederic S. Mishkin & Raghuram G. Rajan & David S. Scharfstein & Robe, 2010. "The Squam Lake Report: Fixing the Financial System," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 9261.
    6. International Monetary Fund, 2013. "Colombia: Financial System Stability Assessment," IMF Staff Country Reports 2013/050, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Carlos León & Constanza Martínez-Ventura & Freddy Cepeda-López, 2019. "Short-Term Liquidity Contagion in the Interbank Market," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, vol. 38(76), pages 51-80, January.
    2. Carlos A. Arango & Freddy H. Cepeda, 2016. "Non-monotonic Tradeoffs of Tiering in a Large Value Payment System," Borradores de Economia 946, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Large value payment system; intraday liquidity; counterparty stress test; discretionary payments; simulation; direct effect; second-round effect; feedback effect; network topology.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
    • D85 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Network Formation
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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