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Monetary Policy Rules with Financial Instability

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  • Sofia Bauducco
  • Ales Bulir
  • Martin Cihak

Abstract

To provide a rigorous analysis of monetary policy in the face of financial instability, we extend the standard dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to include a financial system. Our simulations suggest that if financial instability affects output and inflation with a lag, and if the central bank has privileged information about credit risk, monetary policy responding instantly to increased credit risk can trade off more output and inflation instability today for a faster return to the trend than a policy that follows the simple Taylor rule. This augmented rule leads in some parameterizations to improved outcomes in terms of long-term welfare, however, the welfare impacts of such a rule appear to be negligible.

Suggested Citation

  • Sofia Bauducco & Ales Bulir & Martin Cihak, 2008. "Monetary Policy Rules with Financial Instability," Working Papers 2008/8, Czech National Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:cnb:wpaper:2008/8
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    Cited by:

    1. Svatopluk Kapounek & Jana Kralova, 2014. "Financial Instability and Money Velocity - Evidence from the Financial Crisis," MENDELU Working Papers in Business and Economics 2014-44, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    2. Cristian Barra & Roberto Zotti, 2022. "Financial stability and local economic development: the experience of Italian labour market areas," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1951-1979, April.
    3. Jan Žácek, 2019. "Financial Variables in a Policy Rule: Does It Bring Macroeconomic Benefits?," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 69(2), pages 122-148, April.
    4. Badarau, Cristina & Popescu, Alexandra, 2014. "Monetary policy and credit cycles: A DSGE analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 301-312.
    5. Nicolás Álvarez & Antonio Fernandois & Andrés Sagner, 2021. "Economic Growth at Risk: An Application to Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 905, Central Bank of Chile.
    6. BARRA, Cristian & ZOTTI, Roberto, 2018. "Financial Stability as a Public Policy Goal to Increase Local Economic Development: an Empirical Investigation from Italian Labour Market Areas," CELPE Discussion Papers 154, CELPE - CEnter for Labor and Political Economics, University of Salerno, Italy.
    7. Martin Mandel & Vladimír Tomšík, 2015. "Dynamika a rovnováha úspor, investic a úvěru v hospodářském cyklu: příklad České republiky [Dynamics and Balance of Savings, Investments, and Credits in Business Cycle: The Case of the Czech Republ," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2015(1), pages 32-56.
    8. de Haan, Leo & van den End, Jan Willem, 2018. "The signalling content of asset prices for inflation: Implications for quantitative easing," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 45-63.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    DSGE models; financial instability; monetary policy rule.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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