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Are Budget Neutral Income Floors Fiscally Viable in Sub-Saharan Africa?

Author

Listed:
  • Nora Lustig

    (Tulane University
    Center for Global Development)

  • Jon Jellema

    (Commitment to Equity Institute (CEQ))

  • Valentina Martinez Pabon

    (Tulane University)

Abstract

Using microsimulations, we assess whether budget neutral universal income floors are fiscally viable in twelve SSA countries. We consider three universal basic income (UBI) scenarios of decreasing levels of generosity: poverty line, average poverty gap, and current spending on transfers and subsidies per person (spending neutral). The viability of the policies is assessed by comparing the results on poverty and average tax rates obtained from the simulated scenarios with those in the current system (baseline). We find that poverty line and poverty gap UBI programs would not be viable. Spending neutral UBI programs could potentially be viable in Botswana, Ghana and Zambia. If resources are targeted to the poor, a poverty line scenario is viable in Botswana, Ghana, Namibia, and South Africa.

Suggested Citation

  • Nora Lustig & Jon Jellema & Valentina Martinez Pabon, 2021. "Are Budget Neutral Income Floors Fiscally Viable in Sub-Saharan Africa?," Working Papers 588, Center for Global Development.
    • Handle: RePEc:cgd:wpaper:588
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    Cited by:

    1. Nora Lustig & Valentina Martinez Pabon, 2022. "Universal Basic Income, Taxes, and the Poor," Working Papers 2205, Tulane University, Department of Economics.
    2. Hernandez, Carlos Ospino & Rigolini, Jamele & Coll-Black, Sarah & Oviedo, Ana Maria, 2023. "Protecting Who? Optimal Social Protection Responses to Shocks with Limited Information," IZA Policy Papers 205, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. Habeenzu, Lennon Jambo, 2023. "Determinants of Inclusive Growth in Zambia," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 12(1), March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    universal basic incomes; fiscal policy; fiscal incidence; poverty; fiscal impoverishment; taxes; sub-Saharan Africa;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H22 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Incidence
    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution

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