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Euro Area House Prices and Unconventional Monetary Policy Surprises

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  • Oliver Hülsewig
  • Horst Rottmann

Abstract

This paper examines the reaction of house prices in a panel of euro area countries to monetary policy surprises over the period 2010-2019. Using Jordà’s (2005) local projection method, we find that real house prices rise in response to expansionary monetary policy shocks that can be related to unconventional policy measures. In the core countries including Ireland, we also find that lending for house purchases increases relative to nominal output. Thus, household debt rises.

Suggested Citation

  • Oliver Hülsewig & Horst Rottmann, 2021. "Euro Area House Prices and Unconventional Monetary Policy Surprises," CESifo Working Paper Series 9045, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_9045
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    14. Kerssenfischer, Mark, 2019. "Information Effects of Euro Area Monetary Policy: New evidence from high-frequency futures data," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203524, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    15. Musso, Alberto & Neri, Stefano & Stracca, Livio, 2011. "Housing, consumption and monetary policy: How different are the US and the euro area?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 3019-3041, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Eiblmeier, Sebastian, 2023. "Differential Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-707, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    2. Eiblmeier, Sebastian, 2024. "Differential Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302432, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    3. Oliver Hülsewig & Horst Rottmann, 2022. "Euro Area Periphery Countries' Fiscal Policy and Monetary Policy Surprises," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 544-568, June.
    4. Ma, Chaoqun & Tian, Yonggang & Hsiao, Shisong & Deng, Liurui, 2022. "Monetary policy shocks and Bitcoin prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    5. Egan, Paul & Bergin, Adele, 2023. "The impact of government spending on Ireland’s housing and residential market – Targeted vs economy-wide stimulus," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 552-569.
    6. Sigal Ribon, 2023. "The Interaction between Macroprudential and Monetary Policies and the Housing Market – A VAR Examination for Israel," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2023.11, Bank of Israel.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Euro area house prices; unconventional monetary policy; local projection method;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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