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Persistence, non-linearities and structural breaks in European stock market indices

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  • Guglielmo Maria Caporale
  • Luis A. Gil-Alana
  • Carlos Poza

Abstract

This paper examines persistence, structural breaks and non-linearities in the case of five European stock market indices, namely the FTSE100 (UK), DAX30 (Germany), CAC40 (France), IBEX35 (Spain) and FTSE MIB40 (Italy), using fractional integration methods. The empirical results provide no evidence of non-linearities in either prices or returns; the former are found to exhibit unit roots and the latter to be I(0) in most cases. Further, between 2 and 4 structural breaks are found for each of the return series, and mean reversion in some subsamples.

Suggested Citation

  • Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Carlos Poza, 2019. "Persistence, non-linearities and structural breaks in European stock market indices," CESifo Working Paper Series 7667, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7667
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2022. "Globalization, long memory, and real interest rate convergence: a historical perspective," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(5), pages 2331-2355, November.
    2. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Infante, Juan & Martín-Valmayor, Miguel Angel, 2023. "Persistence and long run co-movements across stock market prices," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 347-357.
    3. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko & Poza, Carlos, 2022. "The COVID-19 pandemic and the degree of persistence of US stock prices and bond yields," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 118-123.
    4. Yarovaya, Larisa & Matkovskyy, Roman & Jalan, Akanksha, 2022. "The COVID-19 black swan crisis: Reaction and recovery of various financial markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    5. Chang, Chiu-Lan & Fang, Ming, 2022. "The connectedness between natural resource commodities and stock market indices: Evidence from the Chinese economy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    6. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "The Behavior of Real Interest Rates: New Evidence from a ``Suprasecular" Perspective," Working Papers 202093, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    European stock markets; nonstationarity; unit roots; fractional integration; persistence; non-linearities;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

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