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The Impact of Business and Political News on the GCC Stock Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Alanoud Al-Maadid
  • Guglielmo Maria Caporale
  • Fabio Spagnolo
  • Nicola Spagnolo

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of business and political news on stock market returns in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. For this purpose, it employs a Markov switching model including a separate index for each of the two categories of news considered. The results indicate the importance of news as drivers of GCC stock returns, with business news playing a more substantial role; further, news released in the largest financial markets in the regions are found to have significant cross-border effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Alanoud Al-Maadid & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Fabio Spagnolo & Nicola Spagnolo, 2018. "The Impact of Business and Political News on the GCC Stock Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 7353, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7353
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    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Ateeq ur REHMAN & Syed Ghulam Meran SHAH & Lucian-Ionel CIOCA & Alin ARTENE, 2021. "Accentuating the Impacts of Political News on the Stock Price, Working Capital and Performance: An Empirical Review of Emerging Economy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 55-73, June.
    2. Hayet Soltani & Mouna Boujelbène Abbes, 2023. "The Predictive Power of Financial Stress on the Financial Markets Dynamics: Hidden Markov Model," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(1), pages 94-115, March.
    3. Al-Maadid, Alanoud & Alhazbi, Saleh & Al-Thelaya, Khaled, 2022. "Using machine learning to analyze the impact of coronavirus pandemic news on the stock markets in GCC countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    4. Abdollahi, Hooman & Junttila, Juha-Pekka & Lehkonen, Heikki, 2024. "Clustering asset markets based on volatility connectedness to political news," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    5. Stephens, John & Mehdian, Seyed & Gherghina, Ștefan Cristian & Stoica, Ovidiu, 2023. "The reaction of the financial market to the January 6 United States Capitol attack: An intraday study," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    6. Fedorova, E. & Pyltsin, I. & Kovalchuk, Yu. & Drogovoz, P., 2022. "News and social networks of Russian companies: Degree of influence on the securities market," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 53(1), pages 32-52.
    7. Du, Hanyu & Hao, Jing & He, Feng & Xi, Wenze, 2022. "Media sentiment and cross-sectional stock returns in the Chinese stock market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    8. Aqila Rafiuddin & Jennifer Daffodils & Jesus Cuauhtemoc Tellez Gaytan & Gyanendra Singh Sisodia, 2021. "Trend of Oil Prices, Gold, GCC Stocks Market during Covid-19 Pandemic: A Wavelet Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(4), pages 560-572.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    business news; GCC countries; Markov switching model; political news;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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