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China's Bilateral Currency Swap Lines

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  • Lin Zhitao
  • Zhan Wenjie
  • Yin-Wong Cheung

Abstract

We study the determinants of China’s bilateral local currency swap lines that were established since the recent global finance crisis. It is found that economic factors, political considerations, and institutional characteristics including trade intensity, economic size, strategic partnership, free trade agreement, corruption, and stability affect the decision of signing a swap line agreement. Once a swap line agreement decision is made, the size of the swap line is then mainly affected by trade intensity, economic size, and the presence of a free trade agreement. The results are quite robust with respect to the choices of the Heckman two-stage framework or the proportional hazard model. The gravity effect captured by distances between China and its counterparts, if present, is mainly observed during the early part of the sample period under consideration.

Suggested Citation

  • Lin Zhitao & Zhan Wenjie & Yin-Wong Cheung, 2016. "China's Bilateral Currency Swap Lines," CESifo Working Paper Series 5736, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_5736
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    Cited by:

    1. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Grimm, Louisa & Westermann, Frank, 2021. "The evolution of offshore renminbi trading: 2016 to 2019," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    2. Kiani-Rad , Minoo & Tehrani , Reza & Komijani , Akbar & Iravani , Mohammad Javad, 2017. "Investigating the Effect of Monetary Treaty on Trade between Iran and Major Trading Partners," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 12(2), pages 145-173, April.
    3. Mohammed Ahmed, Abdullahi, 2019. "China’s Bilateral Currency Swap Agreement: Strategic Move to Foster Political and Financial Hegemony," MPRA Paper 109879, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Oct 2019.
    4. Barry Eichengreen & Camille Macaire & Arnaud Mehl & Eric Monnet & Alain Naef, 2022. "Is Capital Account Convertibility Required for the Renminbi to Acquire Reserve Currency Status?," Working papers 892, Banque de France.
    5. An, Jiyoun & Kim, Hyo Sang & Park, Bokyeong, 2024. "Do China's policy measures for RMB internationalization foster currency co-movements?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 1033-1050.
    6. Fan Zhang & Miaojie Yu & Jiantuo Yu & Yang Jin, 2017. "The Effect of RMB Internationalization on Belt and Road Initiative: Evidence from Bilateral Swap Agreements," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(12), pages 2845-2857, December.
    7. Hao, Kaixuan & Han, Liyan & Li, (Tony) Wei, 2022. "The impact of China's currency swap lines on bilateral trade," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 173-183.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    RMB swap lines; Heckman two-stage method; proportional hazard model; trade intensity; political factors and institutional characteristics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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