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Going Offshore: Investments in German Wind Energy under Uncertainty

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  • Yu-Fu Chen
  • Michael Funke

Abstract

Employing a continuous-time real options modeling framework, this paper scrutinizes the incentives to invest in German offshore wind farms. The focus of the analysis is the mode of action of the German feed-in tariff system for offshore wind energy deployment. The numerical results reveal that the long term subsidies in Germany set prices that provide higher returns than needed to secure investment, even when taking the uncertainties involved into account. The results obtained can be used by policy-makers to design comprehensive and efficient offshore wind energy support measures.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu-Fu Chen & Michael Funke, 2015. "Going Offshore: Investments in German Wind Energy under Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 5408, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_5408
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    File URL: https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp5408.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Christina E. Bannier, 2016. "Bewertungsmethoden in der Projektfinanzierung Erneuerbarer Energien [Valuation Methods for Renewable Energy Projects]," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 68(1), pages 75-110, April.
    2. Gazheli, Ardjan & van den Bergh, Jeroen, 2018. "Real options analysis of investment in solar vs. wind energy: Diversification strategies under uncertain prices and costs," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 2693-2704.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    real options; offshore wind energy; feed-in tariff; tender bidding; Germany;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • D92 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice, Investment, Capacity, and Financing
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes

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