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Pegging the Renminbi to a Basket - Facts, Prospects and Consequences

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  • Heikki Oksanen

Abstract

On 19 June 2010 the Chinese authorities announced that the renminbi (RMB) was henceforth to be pegged to a currency basket. Yet, it has quite closely followed the USD, though having appreciated by 2.7 % by the time of writing. At the G20 Seoul Summit on 11-12 November 2010, China committed to further reform the RMB exchange rate regime. We discuss here what a genuine basket peg could mean for China, with the view that the weight for the EUR should obviously be significantly increased, the SDR being a strong option for practical implementation. This would also have a positive impact on the EU. China’s currency reform has possible implications for its USD-dominated assets. Their reduction could trigger a further depreciation of the USD. The potentially costly consequences call for new rules for the world financial architecture. China’s expansion will inevitably lead to a diminishing international role for the USD.

Suggested Citation

  • Heikki Oksanen, 2010. "Pegging the Renminbi to a Basket - Facts, Prospects and Consequences," CESifo Working Paper Series 3254, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_3254
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. John Williamson, 2009. "Why SDRs Could Rival the Dollar," Policy Briefs PB09-20, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    2. Yu-Wei Hu, 2010. "Management of China's foreign exchange reserves: a case study on the state administration of foreign," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 421, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    3. Yosuke Tsuyuguchi, 2009. "The recent flow of "hot money" in China," Bank of Japan Review Series 09-E-3, Bank of Japan.
    4. Jean Pisani-Ferry, 2010. "China and the world economy- a European perspective," Policy Contributions 387, Bruegel.
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    Cited by:

    1. Shi Yutian & John Hicks & P. K. Basu & Kishor Sharma & Yapa Bandara & Tom Murphy, 2017. "Balancing Act: Adjustment Of China'S Economy To Secure Sustainable Growth," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(05), pages 1097-1114, December.
    2. Kristina Spantig, 2012. "International monetary policy spillovers in an asymmetric world monetary system - The United States and China," Global Financial Markets Working Paper Series 2012-33, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    3. Dai, Meixing, 2011. "Motivations and strategies for a real revaluation of the Yuan," MPRA Paper 30440, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Meixing Dai, 2013. "In search of an optimal strategy for yuan’s real revaluation," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 29-46, February.
    5. Kristina Spantig, 2015. "International monetary policy spillovers—can the RMB and the euro challenge the hegemony of the US dollar?," Asia Europe Journal, Springer, vol. 13(4), pages 459-478, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    China; renminbi; yuan; basket peg; foreign exchange rates;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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