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Does Loan Maturity Matter in Risk-Based Pricing? Evidence from Consumer Loan Data

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  • Gabriela Kuvikova

Abstract

This paper investigates the role of loan contract terms in the performance of consumer credit. Taking advantage of a sample of accepted and rejected consumer loans from a Czech commercial bank, I estimate the elasticity of loan demand and find that borrowers with a high probability of default are more responsive to maturity than interest rate changes. I also argue that risk-based pricing may lead to an increase in loan maturity and loan default, rather than alleviating the adverse selection present on the lending market. Empirical evidence suggests that loan performance is time-dependent and default depends on the choice of loan duration.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriela Kuvikova, 2015. "Does Loan Maturity Matter in Risk-Based Pricing? Evidence from Consumer Loan Data," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp538, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    • Handle: RePEc:cer:papers:wp538
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alena Bicakova & Zuzana Prelcova & Renata Pasalicova, 2010. "Who Borrows and Who May Not Repay?," Working Papers 2010/10, Czech National Bank.
    2. Evžen Kocenda & Martin Vojtek, 2011. "Default Predictors in Retail Credit Scoring: Evidence from Czech Banking Data," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(6), pages 80-98, November.
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    5. Allen N. Berger & Marco A. Espinosa‐Vega & W. Scott Frame & Nathan H. Miller, 2005. "Debt Maturity, Risk, and Asymmetric Information," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(6), pages 2895-2923, December.
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    17. Stiglitz, Joseph E & Weiss, Andrew, 1981. "Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(3), pages 393-410, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gabriela Kuvikova, 2015. "Loans for Better Living: The Role of Informal Collateral," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp541, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    2. Bronson Argyle & Taylor D. Nadauld & Christopher Palmer, 2019. "Monthly Payment Targeting and the Demand for Maturity," NBER Working Papers 25668, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit scoring; consumer loans; asymmetric information;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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