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The curse of technological race: the red queen effect

Author

Listed:
  • Leonardo Costa Ribeiro

    (UFMG)

  • Ricardo Machado Ruiz

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

  • Américo Tristão Bernardes

    (UFOP)

  • Eduardo da Motta e Albuquerque

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

Abstract

Economic prosperity is tied to scientific development, i.e., there is a strong correlation between science, technology and the wealth of nations. We collected data from scientific and technological production of 183 countries of the last thirty years (1974 to 2003) and applied a super-paramagnetic clustering technique on them, finding nations divided in three regimes, distinguished by the interactions between the agents of their National Systems of Innovation (NSI). The identification of these groups allows us to define the dynamical behavior of the thresholds, that grow exponentially and whose growth rate we have calculated. We show that for the period 1974-2003 the threshold between the immature and the developed NSIs increases by an annual rate of 6.6% (per capita). We identify clearly a "Red Queen Effect". Finally we show that the transitions between the regimes are discontinuous, represented by a structural breakthrough. Therefore, the prerequisite to move from regime I to regime II, and then to regime III are structural changes within NSIs.

Suggested Citation

  • Leonardo Costa Ribeiro & Ricardo Machado Ruiz & Américo Tristão Bernardes & Eduardo da Motta e Albuquerque, 2006. "The curse of technological race: the red queen effect," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG td288, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdp:texdis:td288
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    File URL: https://www.cedeplar.ufmg.br/pesquisas/td/TD%20288.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Leonardo C. Ribeiro & Ricardo M. Ruiz & Eduardo M. Albuquerque & Américo T. Bernardes, 2006. "National Systems Of Innovation And Technological Differentiation: A Multi-Country Model," International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(02), pages 247-257.
    2. Bernardes, Americo Tristao & Albuquerque, Eduardo da Motta e, 2003. "Cross-over, thresholds, and interactions between science and technology: lessons for less-developed countries," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 865-885, May.
    3. Freeman, Chris, 1995. "The 'National System of Innovation' in Historical Perspective," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 19(1), pages 5-24, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    national systems of innovation; super-paramagnetic clustering technique; moving thresholds;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O0 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - General

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