IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cdl/agrebk/qt16x9z6s8.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Near-term trends in China's coal consumption

Author

Listed:
  • Lin, J
  • Fridley, D
  • Lu, H
  • Price, L
  • Zhou, N

Abstract

Coal combustion to power China’s factories, generate electricity, and heat buildings has increased continually since energy use statistics were first published in 1981. From 2013 until 2015, however, this trend reversed and coal use continued to decline from 2,810 million metric tons of coal equivalent (Mtce) to 2,752 Mtce, leading to a levelling off of China’s overall CO2 emissions. Some analysts have declared that China’s coal consumption may have peaked, but preliminary data indicate that coal consumption increased in 2017. This recent growth, combined with our analysis of projected increases in electricity demand that cannot be met by other fossil-fuel or non-fossil-fuel electricity sources, along with projected increases in coal use in light manufacturing, other non-industrial sectors, as well as in coal use for transformation, indicates potential future growth of China’s coal use to levels of 2,908 Mtce to 3,060 Mtce in 2020, with associated increases in energy-related CO2 emissions.

Suggested Citation

  • Lin, J & Fridley, D & Lu, H & Price, L & Zhou, N, 2018. "Near-term trends in China's coal consumption," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt16x9z6s8, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
  • Handle: RePEc:cdl:agrebk:qt16x9z6s8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/16x9z6s8.pdf;origin=repeccitec
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhu Liu & Dabo Guan & Wei Wei & Steven J. Davis & Philippe Ciais & Jin Bai & Shushi Peng & Qiang Zhang & Klaus Hubacek & Gregg Marland & Robert J. Andres & Douglas Crawford-Brown & Jintai Lin & Hongya, 2015. "Reduced carbon emission estimates from fossil fuel combustion and cement production in China," Nature, Nature, vol. 524(7565), pages 335-338, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Man, Yi & Yan, Yukun & Wang, Xu & Ren, Jingzheng & Xiong, Qingang & He, Zhenglei, 2023. "Overestimated carbon emission of the pulp and paper industry in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 273(C).
    2. Chen, Yuhong & Lyu, Yanfeng & Yang, Xiangdong & Zhang, Xiaohong & Pan, Hengyu & Wu, Jun & Lei, Yongjia & Zhang, Yanzong & Wang, Guiyin & Xu, Min & Luo, Hongbin, 2022. "Performance comparison of urea production using one set of integrated indicators considering energy use, economic cost and emissions’ impacts: A case from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PC).
    3. Ling Yang & Michael L. Lahr, 2019. "The Drivers of China’s Regional Carbon Emission Change—A Structural Decomposition Analysis from 1997 to 2007," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-18, June.
    4. Chen, Lu & Li, Xin & Liu, Wei & Kang, Xinyu & Zhao, Yifei & Wang, Minxi, 2024. "System dynamics-multiple the objective optimization model for the coordinated development of urban economy-energy-carbon system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 371(C).
    5. Xiao, Huijuan & Wang, Daoping & Qi, Yu & Shao, Shuai & Zhou, Ya & Shan, Yuli, 2021. "The governance-production nexus of eco-efficiency in Chinese resource-based cities: A two-stage network DEA approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    6. An, Runying & Yu, Biying & Li, Ru & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2018. "Potential of energy savings and CO2 emission reduction in China’s iron and steel industry," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 862-880.
    7. Tong, Zheming & Chen, Yujiao & Malkawi, Ali & Liu, Zhu & Freeman, Richard B., 2016. "Energy saving potential of natural ventilation in China: The impact of ambient air pollution," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 660-668.
    8. Li, Jia Shuo & Zhou, H.W. & Meng, Jing & Yang, Q. & Chen, B. & Zhang, Y.Y., 2018. "Carbon emissions and their drivers for a typical urban economy from multiple perspectives: A case analysis for Beijing city," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 1076-1086.
    9. Sichen Tao & Yifei Yang & Ruihan Zhao & Hiroyoshi Todo & Zheng Tang, 2024. "Competitive Elimination Improved Differential Evolution for Wind Farm Layout Optimization Problems," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-24, November.
    10. Zhou, Dequn & Zhou, Xiaoyong & Xu, Qing & Wu, Fei & Wang, Qunwei & Zha, Donglan, 2018. "Regional embodied carbon emissions and their transfer characteristics in China," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 180-193.
    11. Wu, Dong & Geng, Yong & Pan, Hengyu, 2021. "Whether natural gas consumption bring double dividends of economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions reduction in China?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    12. Liu, Chengyun & Su, Kun & Zhang, Miaomiao, 2021. "Water disclosure and financial reporting quality for social changes: Empirical evidence from China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    13. Song, Malin & Du, Juntao & Tan, Kim Hua, 2018. "Impact of fiscal decentralization on green total factor productivity," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 359-367.
    14. Qinren Shi & Bo Zheng & Yixuan Zheng & Dan Tong & Yang Liu & Hanchen Ma & Chaopeng Hong & Guannan Geng & Dabo Guan & Kebin He & Qiang Zhang, 2022. "Co-benefits of CO2 emission reduction from China’s clean air actions between 2013-2020," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-8, December.
    15. Jiang, Hong-Dian & Liu, Yan-xin & Wang, Hanxu & Li, Huajiao & Jiang, Yutong, 2024. "An economy-wide and environmental assessment of an imported supply shortage for iron ore: The case of China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 606-617.
    16. Qianyu Zhao & Boyu Xie & Mengyao Han, 2023. "Unpacking the Sub-Regional Spatial Network of Land-Use Carbon Emissions: The Case of Sichuan Province in China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-22, October.
    17. Yu, Xiaohong & Xu, Haiyan & Lou, Wengao & Xu, Xun & Shi, Victor, 2023. "Examining energy eco-efficiency in China's logistics industry," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    18. Shuai Qin & Hong Chen & Haokun Wang, 2021. "Spatial–Temporal Heterogeneity and Driving Factors of Rural Residents’ Food Consumption Carbon Emissions in China—Based on an ESDA-GWR Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-17, November.
    19. Wang, Ke & Zhang, Jianjun & Cai, Bofeng & Yu, Shengmin, 2019. "Emission factors of fugitive methane from underground coal mines in China: Estimation and uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 273-282.
    20. Liang Nie & ZhongXiang Zhang, 2021. "Is high-speed rail green? Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China," Working Papers 2021.23, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cdl:agrebk:qt16x9z6s8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Lisa Schiff (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dabrkus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.