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Climate Change and Food Security: Do Spatial Spillovers Matter?

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  • Eric Nazindigouba KERE
  • Somlanare Romuald KINDA

Abstract

This article analyzes the role of spatial spillovers in the relationship between climate change and food security in developing countries over the period of 1971-2010. Using a Samuelson’s spatial price equilibrium model (theoretically) and Spatial Durbin Model (empirically), results show a strategic substitutability between the levels of food availability in the countries suggesting that an increase of food availability in a given country decreases the food availability of neighboring countries. Second climate change (water balance variability, droughts, floods and extreme temperatures) reduces food availability both in the affected countries and its main food trading partners. Third, food demand factors in a country may have the opposite (asymmetric) effect on its major trading partners. Fourth, supply factors have symmetric impact on food availability.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Nazindigouba KERE & Somlanare Romuald KINDA, 2016. "Climate Change and Food Security: Do Spatial Spillovers Matter?," Working Papers 201604, CERDI.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdi:wpaper:1788
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    Cited by:

    1. Abdullah & Wang Qingshi & Muhammad Akbar, 2022. "A Spatial Panel Analysis of Food Security and Political Risk in Asian Countries," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 161(1), pages 345-378, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Food security; Climate change; Spatial spillovers; Spatial econometrics; Developing countries.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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